Result
0:2
23/10/2025 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (36/50) | 67% (35/52) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 45% (10/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 78% (7/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 30% (15/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 71% (22/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (44/80) | 61% (45/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (29/74) | 45% (36/80) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (73/154) | 53% (81/154) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 55% (12/22) |
Chances of winning
Mathys Erhard 36.1% | Alejandro Moro Canas 63.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mathys Erhard - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.62 ↓ (2.83) |
|
1.46 ↑ (1.37) |
6.7% (8.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- Erhard is ranked ATP: 323. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 256.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Erhard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Moro Canas could have a small edge in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathys Erhard won against Alejandro Moro Canas?
Mathys Erhard has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Moro Canas won against Mathys Erhard?
Alejandro Moro Canas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathys Erhard - Alejandro Moro Canas were as follows:
Latest results of Mathys Erhard
Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. (1) | Geerts M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Andreev A. (PR) | Gadamauri B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Negritu Ch. | Erhard M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Opitz J. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Engel J. (4) | Jong S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Stebe C. (PR) | McDonald N. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Mackenzie J. (WC) | Forti F. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Coulibaly E. | Dodig M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Loffhagen G. (5) | Topo M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Vives Marcos P. (Q) | Glinka D. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Martineau M. | Moeller M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Squire H. | Onclin G. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Cina F. (6) | Karol M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Kuzmanov D. | Petkovic M. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Brunclik P. (NG) | Gentzsch T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Mrva M. (SE) | Rodesch C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Geerts M. | Gadamauri B. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Erhard M. | Moro Canas A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Engel J. (4) | Stebe C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Mackenzie J. | Dodig M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Loffhagen G. (WO.) (5) | Glinka D. | |
| 6 | Martineau M. | Squire H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cina F. (6) | Kuzmanov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Gentzsch T. | Rodesch C. (RET.) (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gadamauri B. | Moro Canas A. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Engel J. (4) | Dodig M. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Loffhagen G. (5) | Squire H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cina F. (6) | Gentzsch T. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Moro Canas A. (7) | Engel J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Loffhagen G. (5) | Cina F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Engel J. (4) | Cina F. (6) | 2 : 0 |