Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan, clay - Semi-finals
Chances of winning
Mathys Erhard
46.1% | Alexey Vatutin
53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mathys Erhard - Alexey Vatutin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.85) |
|
1.72 ↓
(1.85) |
8%
(8.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Erhard is ranked ATP: 283. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 323.
- Erhard is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Vatutin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Erhard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathys Erhard won against Alexey Vatutin?
Mathys Erhard has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexey Vatutin won against Mathys Erhard?
Alexey Vatutin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathys Erhard - Alexey Vatutin were as follows:
Latest results of Mathys Erhard
Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Gonzalez Fernandez M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Matuszczyk M. (Q) | Bojarski A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Szajrych J. | Sadzik J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Manzanera Pertusa A. | Kivattsev K. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Vatutin A. (3) | Gannon C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Pawelski M. (RET.) | Gimenez I. | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Zanellato N. (Q) | Filar K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ozolins K. (Q) | Krutykh O. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Berkieta T. (RET.) (7) | Hrazdil J. (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Lechno-Wasiutynski F. (WC) | Guttau N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Barreto Sanchez D. A. | Zeuch T. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Hrynkiewicz J. (Q) | Kasnikowski M. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Beckley A. (6) | Michocki P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Donald M. | Mashtakov N. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Hernandez C. | Knitter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Zielinski M. | Denolly C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Bojarski A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Szajrych J. (RET.) | Kivattsev K. (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vatutin A. (3) | Gimenez I. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Filar K. | Ozolins K. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Hrazdil J. | Lechno-Wasiutynski F. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Zeuch T. | Kasnikowski M. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Beckley A. (RET.) (6) | Donald M. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Hernandez C. | Denolly C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Kivattsev K. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vatutin A. (3) | Filar K. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Lechno-Wasiutynski F. | Kasnikowski M. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Donald M. | Denolly C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Vatutin A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lechno-Wasiutynski F. | Donald M. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Lechno-Wasiutynski F. | |
