Result
1:2
24/06/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (54/80) | 71% (45/63) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 46% (17/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 33% (26/80) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 55% (22/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 19% (3/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (72/120) | 62% (62/100) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (38/100) | 40% (48/120) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (110/220) | 50% (110/220) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (14/30) |
Chances of winning
Mathys Erhard
66% | Christoph Negritu
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathys Erhard's performance.Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.74 ↑
(1.83) |
7.1%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu?
Users Predictions:
Mathys Erhard will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Erhard is ranked ATP: 272. Negritu is ranked ATP: 288.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Erhard is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathys Erhard won against Christoph Negritu?
Mathys Erhard has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Christoph Negritu won against Mathys Erhard?
Christoph Negritu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu were as follows:
28.10.2022
Mathys Erhard
-
Christoph Negritu
2:1
Latest results of Mathys Erhard
Latest results of Christoph Negritu
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Piraino G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Berrettini J. (Q) | Squire H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Erhard M. | Negritu Ch. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Martin A. | Gakhov I. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Soto M. (4) | Pereira T. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. (JR) | Giustino L. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Dedura D. (NG) | Gea A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. (Alt) | Pacheco Mendez R. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Ferreira Silva F. (6) | Vatutin A. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Cecchinato M. (WC) | Alcala Gurri M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Faurel T. (Q) | Bondioli F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Fonio G. (Q) | Houkes M. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Poljicak M. (7) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Santamarta Roig A. (Q) | Vasami J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Prihodko O. (Alt) | Albot R. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Mikrut L. | Coppejans K. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Berrettini J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Negritu Ch. | Gakhov I. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pereira T. | Jodar R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Gea A. | Roca Batalla O. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ferreira Silva F. (6) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Faurel T. | Houkes M. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Poljicak M. (7) | Vasami J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Prihodko O. | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. | Houkes M. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vasami J. | Mikrut L. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Jodar R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. | Vasami J. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
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