Christoph Negritu vs Mathys Erhard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hamburg Challenger Men Christoph Negritu - Mathys Erhard
Result
0:2
21/10/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
56%75%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (20/31)82% (37/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (12/24)33% (5/15)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
18% (8/45)39% (12/31)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (10/15)50% (12/24)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
58% (32/55)69% (41/59)
Return Points Won
31% (18/59)42% (23/55)
Total Points Won
44% (50/114)56% (64/114)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Christoph Negritu
60.8%
Mathys Erhard
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christoph Negritu's performance.
  • Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathys Erhard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christoph Negritu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Christoph Negritu - Mathys Erhard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.83)

    2.35
    (1.83)
    6.2%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Christoph Negritu - Mathys Erhard?
  • Users Predictions: Christoph Negritu will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Negritu is ranked ATP: 311. Erhard is ranked ATP: 320.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Negritu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Christoph Negritu - Mathys Erhard were as follows:
    24.06.2025 Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu 1:2
    28.10.2022 Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu 2:1
    Latest results of Christoph Negritu
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (1)Geerts M.1 : 2
    2Andreev A. (PR)Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    3Negritu Ch.Erhard M.0 : 2
    4Opitz J. (Q)Moro Canas A. (7)
    5Engel J. (4)Jong S. (Q)
    6Stebe C. (PR)McDonald N. (WC)2 : 0
    7Mackenzie J. (WC)Forti F. (PR)2 : 0
    8Coulibaly E.Dodig M. (8)0 : 2
    9Loffhagen G. (5)Topo M.2 : 1
    10Vives Marcos P. (Q)Glinka D.0 : 2
    11Martineau M.Moeller M. (Q)2 : 0
    12Squire H.Onclin G. (3)2 : 0
    13Cina F. (6)Karol M. (Q)2 : 1
    14Kuzmanov D.Petkovic M. (WC)2 : 1
    15Brunclik P. (NG)Gentzsch T.
    16Mrva M. (SE)Rodesch C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Geerts M.Gadamauri B.
    2Erhard M.TBD #4
    3TBD #5Stebe C.
    4Mackenzie J.Dodig M. (8)
    5Loffhagen G. (5)Glinka D.
    6Martineau M.Squire H.
    7Cina F. (6)Kuzmanov D.
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2