Mathys Erhard vs Kaichi Uchida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/01/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
95
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
55%56%
1st serve points won
82% (37/45)71% (27/38)
2nd serve points won
49% (18/37)53% (16/30)
Break Points Saved
100% (8/8)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
29% (11/38)22% (10/45)
2nd return points won
47% (14/30)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)0% (0/8)
Winners
2126
Unforced errors
1435
Net points won
60% (3/5)77% (17/22)
Service Points Won
67% (55/82)63% (42/67)
Return Points Won
37% (25/67)33% (27/82)
Total Points Won
54% (80/149)46% (69/149)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
48.5%
Kaichi Uchida
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 60.2%

Mathys Erhard - Kaichi Uchida Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.91
(2.11)

1.82
(1.63)
7.4%
(8.5%)
What is the prediction for Mathys Erhard - Kaichi Uchida?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uchida will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Erhard (votes: 2 - 50%). Uchida (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 Games - Erhard (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Erhard (3.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Erhard (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Erhard (votes: 8 - 80%). Uchida (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Erhard is ranked ATP: 333. Uchida is ranked ATP: 248.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Uchida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Moller E. (RET.) (1)Rodesch C.0 : 1
    2Torres T. (WC)Brunclik P. (NG)2 : 1
    3Erhard M. (Q)Uchida K.2 : 0
    4Montes-De La Torre I. (Q)Kolar Z. (8)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (4)Pereira T. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Dedura D. (Q)Hemery C.2 : 1
    7Galarneau A.Kym J.2 : 0
    8Holmgren A.Soriano Barrera A. (LL)2 : 0
    9Rocha H. (5)Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    10Zahraj P. (Alt)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    11Elias G. (WC)Glinka D.0 : 2
    12Kukushkin M. (Q)Landaluce M. (3)2 : 0
    13Rodionov J. (6)Gakhov I.0 : 2
    14Andrade A. (Q)Rosenkranz M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Prado Angelo J. C.Ferreira Silva F.0 : 2
    16Damm M.Gaubas V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rodesch C. (WO.)Torres T.
    2Erhard M.Montes-De La Torre I.0 : 2
    3Faria J. (4)Dedura D.2 : 0
    4Galarneau A.Holmgren A.2 : 1
    5Moro Canas A.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    6Glinka D.Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    7Gakhov I.Rosenkranz M.2 : 0
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Rodesch C.Montes-De La Torre I.2 : 0
    2Faria J. (4)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    3Llamas Ruiz P.Glinka D.1 : 2
    4Gakhov I.Ferreira Silva F.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rodesch C.Galarneau A.2 : 0
    2Glinka D.Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1

    Final
    1Rodesch C.Glinka D.2 : 0