Result
1:2
19/11/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: YOKOHAMA (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL
Chances of winning
Mathys Erhard
39.3% | Naoki Nakagawa
60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoki Nakagawa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mathys Erhard - Naoki Nakagawa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(1.93) |
|
1.53 ↓
(1.78) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Mathys Erhard - Naoki Nakagawa?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Nakagawa will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakagawa: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Erhard is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Nakagawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Nakagawa will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathys Erhard won against Naoki Nakagawa?
Mathys Erhard has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naoki Nakagawa won against Mathys Erhard?
Naoki Nakagawa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathys Erhard - Naoki Nakagawa were as follows:
Latest results of Mathys Erhard
Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Bellucci M. (1) | Wu Tung-Lin | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zakharov A. | Noguchi R. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Basilashvili N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Lestienne C. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Wong C. (3) | Jones L. R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Nam Ji S. (Q) | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Blockx A. (RET.) | Sekulic P. (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Demin Y. (RET.) | Tu L. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rodionov J. (7) | Sakamoto R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cina F. (Q) | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Imamura M. (WC) | Sweeny D. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Shimizu Y. | Bolt A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Hassan B. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Svrcina D. | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Jasika O. (Q) | McCabe J. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Ymer E. | Uchiyama Y. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Wu Tung-Lin | Zakharov A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Basilashvili N. (RET.) | Lestienne C. (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Wong C. (3) | Mochizuki S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sekulic P. | Tu L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sakamoto R. | Cina F. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Imamura M. | Shimizu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Hassan B. | Svrcina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | McCabe J. | Ymer E. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zakharov A. | Lestienne C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Wong C. (3) | Tu L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Sakamoto R. | Shimizu Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Hassan B. | McCabe J. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Lestienne C. (8) | Tu L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shimizu Y. | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Tu L. (6) | Shimizu Y. | 1 : 2 |
