Mathys Erhard vs Nikoloz Basilashvili – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Milan Challenger Men Mathys Erhard - Nikoloz Basilashvili
Result
2:1
24/06/2024 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Fratta A. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
52%65%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (34/47)62% (49/79)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (22/43)51% (22/43)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)75% (12/16)
1st Return Points Won
39% (31/79)30% (14/47)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (21/43)49% (21/43)
Break Points Converted
25% (4/16)38% (3/8)
Max Points In Row
57
Service Points Won
62% (56/90)58% (67/116)
Return Points Won
42% (49/116)38% (34/90)
Total Points Won
51% (105/206)49% (101/206)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
41%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikoloz Basilashvili could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mathys Erhard - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.52)

    1.62
    (1.47)
    4.5%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Mathys Erhard - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Erhard is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Basilashvili is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Basilashvili will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Basilashvili to win the game is with odds 1.51.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2