Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila vs Rodrigo Alujas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guadalajara, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
82

Chances of winning


Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila
65.9%
Rodrigo Alujas
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 46.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila's performance.
  • Rodrigo Alujas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodrigo Alujas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Alujas than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodrigo Alujas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila - Rodrigo Alujas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.73)

    2.78
    (2)
    5.5%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ponce De Leon Gomila is ranked ATP: 1314. Alujas is ranked ATP: 761.
    • Ponce De Leon Gomila is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alujas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rodrigo Alujas
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Hernandez A. (1)Meneo T.2 : 0
    2Sanchez M.Zerega C.2 : 0
    3Berger A.Schtulmann Gasca M.0 : 2
    4Basel V.Rubio Fierros A. F. (6)0 : 2
    5McKennon M. (3)Ponce de Leon Gomila M.0 : 2
    6Bataljin L.Mendez Montiel D. E.2 : 1
    7Sau Franco A.Morales Gutierrez J. J.2 : 1
    8Guilleme J.Alujas R. (5)1 : 2
    9De Alba R. (8)Van Orderlain D.2 : 1
    10De Boes M.Goity Zapico S.0 : 2
    11Candelas R. R.Jauregui Sainz De Rozas R.0 : 2
    12Reyes Tiraldo O. A.Ejupovic E. (4)0 : 2
    13Covato M. (7)Martinez J.2 : 0
    14Cooper S.Beckles D.0 : 2
    15Mayo K.Perez B.2 : 1
    16Betancourt P.Tudorica A. N. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Hernandez A. (1)Sanchez M.2 : 0
    2Schtulmann Gasca M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (6)0 : 2
    3Ponce de Leon Gomila M.Bataljin L.2 : 0
    4Sau Franco A.Alujas R. (5)0 : 2
    5De Alba R. (8)Goity Zapico S.1 : 2
    6Jauregui Sainz De Rozas R.Ejupovic E. (4)0 : 2
    7Covato M. (7)Beckles D.2 : 0
    8Mayo K.Tudorica A. N. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Hernandez A. (1)Rubio Fierros A. F. (6)1 : 2
    2Ponce de Leon Gomila M.Alujas R. (5)2 : 0
    3Goity Zapico S.Ejupovic E. (4)0 : 2
    4Covato M. (7)Mayo K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rubio Fierros A. F. (6)Ponce de Leon Gomila M.2 : 1
    2Ejupovic E. (4)Mayo K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Rubio Fierros A. F. (6)Ejupovic E. (4)0 : 2