Matias Soto vs Aziz Dougaz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mexico City Challenger Men Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz
Result
0:2
10/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
46
1st Serve Percentage
52%59%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (23/32)79% (31/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (13/29)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
21% (8/39)28% (9/32)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
59% (36/61)68% (45/66)
Return Points Won
32% (21/66)41% (25/61)
Total Points Won
45% (57/127)55% (70/127)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
49%
Aziz Dougaz
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 56.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Dougaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.1)

    1.83
    (1.66)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dougaz will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Soto (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 246. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 197.
    • Soto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Dougaz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Soto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Aziz Dougaz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Alves M.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez Taverna S.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Alt)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (6)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (3)Mayo A.2 : 0
    6Mejia N.Cressy M. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Hernandez A. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 0
    8Tomic B.Paris T. (Alt)2 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (5)Perez A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Alujas R. (WC)Blanch Dar. (WC)1 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F. (4)1 : 2
    13Huesler M. (7)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    14Janvier M.Oberleitner N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Soto M.Neuchrist M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dougaz A.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Varillas J. P.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    3Mannarino A. (3)Mejia N.2 : 1
    4Hernandez A.Tomic B.0 : 2
    5Perez A.Martin A.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    7Huesler M. (7)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Soto M.Dougaz A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Varillas J. P.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    2Mannarino A. (3)Tomic B.2 : 1
    3Perez A.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    4Huesler M. (7)Dougaz A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F. (4)Huesler M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2