Matias Soto vs Hernan Casanova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Concepcion Challenger Men Matias Soto - Hernan Casanova
Result
0:2
23/04/2024 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Barboza P. (Arg)

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
60%75%
1st Serve Points Won
40% (10/25)68% (27/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (5/17)46% (6/13)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
33% (13/40)64% (16/25)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (7/13)71% (12/17)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)50% (6/12)
Max Points In Row
37
Service Points Won
34% (14/41)62% (33/53)
Return Points Won
38% (20/53)66% (27/41)
Total Points Won
36% (34/94)64% (60/94)
Max Games In Row
210
Service Games Won
14% (1/7)75% (6/8)
Return Games Won
25% (2/8)86% (6/7)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
48.1%
Hernan Casanova
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hernan Casanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matias Soto - Hernan Casanova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.09)

    1.82
    (1.71)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Hernan Casanova?
  • Users Predictions: Matias Soto will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.26%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Casanova is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Soto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Casanova to win the game is with odds 1.89.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Hernan Casanova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mochizuki Y. (LL)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    2Villalon N. (WC)Olivo R.0 : 2
    3Casanova H.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    4Kicker N. (Q)Vallejo D. (6)2 : 0
    5Burruchaga R. A. (3)Torres J. B.2 : 0
    6Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Orlov V. (Q)2 : 0
    7Soto M.Nesterov P.2 : 0
    8Aboian V.Mena F. (5)2 : 1
    9Nava E. (8)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 0
    10Bueno G.Dedura-Palomero D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Couacaud E.Boscardin Dias P. (Q)1 : 2
    12Reis Da Silva J.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    13Collarini A. (7)Pereira J.2 : 0
    14Villanueva G. (Alt)Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    15Guillen Meza A.Pucinelli de Almeida M.0 : 2
    16Bertola R.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Justo G. I.Olivo R.2 : 0
    2Varillas J. P.Kicker N.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (3)Huertas Del Pino C.2 : 1
    4Soto M.Aboian V.2 : 1
    5Nava E. (8)Bueno G.2 : 0
    6Boscardin Dias P.Reis Da Silva J.1 : 2
    7Collarini A. (7)Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    8Pucinelli de Almeida M.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Justo G. I.Kicker N.1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A. (3)Soto M.0 : 2
    3Nava E. (8)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 0
    4Olivieri G. A.Galan D. E. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Kicker N.Soto M.2 : 1
    2Nava E. (8)Olivieri G. A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Kicker N.Nava E. (8)0 : 2