Jay Clarke vs Matias Soto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
55.9%
Matias Soto
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matias Soto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jay Clarke - Matias Soto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.59)

    2.12
    (2.23)
    7.2%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 185. Soto is ranked ATP: 294.
    • Clarke has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Soto is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Clarke could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jay Clarke - Matias Soto were as follows:
    31.05.2024 Matias Soto - Jay Clarke 0:2
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Latest results of Matias Soto