Jay Clarke vs Matias Soto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
105
Double Faults
76
1st serve percentage
43%52%
1st serve points won
84% (32/38)72% (33/46)
2nd serve points won
45% (23/51)38% (16/42)
Break Points Saved
4/83/7
1st return points won
28% (13/46)18% (7/38)
2nd return points won
62% (26/42)55% (28/51)
Break Points Converted
4/74/8
Winners
1721
Unforced errors
3556
Net points won
100% (6/6)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
61% (54/88)56% (49/88)
Return Points Won
44% (39/88)39% (34/88)
Total Points Won
53% (93/176)47% (83/176)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
71% (10/14)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)29% (4/14)
Total games won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
54.9%
Matias Soto
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matias Soto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jay Clarke - Matias Soto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.59)

    2.06
    (2.23)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jay Clarke - Matias Soto?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Clarke will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Soto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 185. Soto is ranked ATP: 294.
    • Clarke has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Soto is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Clarke could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jay Clarke - Matias Soto were as follows:
    31.05.2024 Matias Soto - Jay Clarke 0:2
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Latest results of Matias Soto