Matias Soto vs Pedro Sakamoto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Santos Challenger Men Matias Soto - Pedro Sakamoto
Result
2:1
05/05/2025 at 15:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
112
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
57%62%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (39/54)59% (42/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (23/40)45% (20/44)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)63% (10/16)
1st Return Points Won
41% (29/71)28% (15/54)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (24/44)43% (17/40)
Break Points Converted
38% (6/16)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
66% (62/94)54% (62/115)
Return Points Won
46% (53/115)34% (32/94)
Total Points Won
55% (115/209)45% (94/209)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)54% (7/13)
Return Games Won
46% (6/13)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
69% (18/26)31% (8/26)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
59.2%
Pedro Sakamoto
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Matias Soto - Pedro Sakamoto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.66)

    2.29
    (2.1)
    7.2%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Pedro Sakamoto?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 240. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 350.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Pedro Sakamoto
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Kolar Z.2 : 0
    2Kuzuhara B. (Q)Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)2 : 1
    3Bicknell B. (PR)Olivo R.1 : 2
    4Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. (Q)Prado Angelo J. C. (7)0 : 2
    5Soto M. (3)Sakamoto P.2 : 1
    6Kohlmann E. (RET.) (WC)Roncadelli F.1 : 1
    7Villanueva G.Alves M.2 : 1
    8Malacarne B. (WC)Torres J. B. (6)0 : 2
    9Olivieri G. A. (8)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 1
    10Midon L.Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    11Ribeiro E. (WC)Pucinelli de Almeida M.1 : 2
    12Alvarez Varona N.Bueno G. (4)2 : 0
    13Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.) (5)Casanova H. (Alt)1 : 1
    14Leite W. (Q)Kicker N. (Q)0 : 2
    15Pereira J. (Q)Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2
    16Mager G. (Alt)Varillas J. P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Kuzuhara B.2 : 1
    2Olivo R.Prado Angelo J. C. (7)2 : 1
    3Soto M. (3)Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    4Villanueva G.Torres J. B. (6)2 : 1
    5Olivieri G. A. (8)Midon L.0 : 2
    6Pucinelli de Almeida M.Alvarez Varona N.2 : 1
    7Casanova H.Kicker N.1 : 2
    8Boscardin Dias P.Mager G.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Olivo R.2 : 0
    2Roncadelli F.Villanueva G.2 : 0
    3Midon L.Pucinelli de Almeida M.0 : 2
    4Kicker N.Mager G.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Roncadelli F.2 : 0
    2Pucinelli de Almeida M.Kicker N.2 : 0

    Final
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0