Matias Soto vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Concepcion Challenger Men Matias Soto - Petr Nesterov
Result
2:0
25/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
73%69%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (35/51)53% (19/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (9/19)44% (7/16)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
47% (17/36)31% (16/51)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (9/16)53% (10/19)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)14% (1/7)
Service Points Won
63% (44/70)50% (26/52)
Return Points Won
50% (26/52)37% (26/70)
Total Points Won
57% (70/122)43% (52/122)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
61.7%
Petr Nesterov
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.
  • Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matias Soto - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.38)

    2.45
    (2.88)
    7.1%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Petr Nesterov?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nesterov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 244. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 448.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Nesterov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Soto is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mochizuki Y. (LL)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    2Villalon N. (WC)Olivo R.0 : 2
    3Casanova H.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    4Kicker N. (Q)Vallejo D. (6)2 : 0
    5Burruchaga R. A. (3)Torres J. B.2 : 0
    6Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Orlov V. (Q)2 : 0
    7Soto M.Nesterov P.2 : 0
    8Aboian V.Mena F. (5)2 : 1
    9Nava E. (8)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 0
    10Bueno G.Dedura-Palomero D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Couacaud E.Boscardin Dias P. (Q)1 : 2
    12Reis Da Silva J.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    13Collarini A. (7)Pereira J.2 : 0
    14Villanueva G. (Alt)Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    15Guillen Meza A.Pucinelli de Almeida M.0 : 2
    16Bertola R.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Justo G. I.Olivo R.2 : 0
    2Varillas J. P.Kicker N.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (3)Huertas Del Pino C.2 : 1
    4Soto M.Aboian V.2 : 1
    5Nava E. (8)Bueno G.2 : 0
    6Boscardin Dias P.Reis Da Silva J.1 : 2
    7Collarini A. (7)Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    8Pucinelli de Almeida M.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Justo G. I.Kicker N.1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A. (3)Soto M.0 : 2
    3Nava E. (8)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 0
    4Olivieri G. A.Galan D. E. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Kicker N.Soto M.2 : 1
    2Nava E. (8)Olivieri G. A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Kicker N.Nava E. (8)0 : 2