Matias Soto vs Tiago Pereira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Milan Challenger Men Matias Soto - Tiago Pereira
Result
1:2
24/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals
Matias Soto - Tiago Pereira - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
60%59%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (37/50)70% (38/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (15/34)59% (22/37)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)80% (8/10)
1st Return Points Won
30% (16/54)28% (14/50)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (15/37)56% (19/34)
Break Points Converted
20% (2/10)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
61% (51/84)66% (60/91)
Return Points Won
34% (31/91)39% (33/84)
Total Points Won
47% (82/175)53% (93/175)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
44%
Tiago Pereira
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.
  • Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Pereira's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+18%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-18%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matias Soto - Tiago Pereira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.58)

    1.7
    (2.29)
    6.7%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Tiago Pereira?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 258. Pereira is ranked ATP: 351.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Tiago Pereira
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
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