Matias Soto vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
60
1st serve percentage
43%78%
1st serve points won
50% (14/28)67% (30/45)
2nd serve points won
49% (18/37)69% (9/13)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)67% (2/3)
1st return points won
33% (15/45)50% (14/28)
2nd return points won
31% (4/13)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)50% (4/8)
Winners
917
Unforced errors
2626
Net points won
33% (1/3)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
49% (32/65)67% (39/58)
Return Points Won
33% (19/58)51% (33/65)
Total Points Won
41% (51/123)59% (72/123)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
24.1%
Vilius Gaubas
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matias Soto - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (3.35)

    1.25
    (1.33)
    5.6%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 316. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 107.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Soto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2