Matias Soto vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
60
1st serve percentage
43%78%
1st serve points won
50% (14/28)67% (30/45)
2nd serve points won
49% (18/37)69% (9/13)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)67% (2/3)
1st return points won
33% (15/45)50% (14/28)
2nd return points won
31% (4/13)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)50% (4/8)
Winners
917
Unforced errors
2626
Net points won
33% (1/3)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
49% (32/65)67% (39/58)
Return Points Won
33% (19/58)51% (33/65)
Total Points Won
41% (51/123)59% (72/123)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
24.1%
Vilius Gaubas
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matias Soto - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (3.35)

    1.25
    (1.33)
    5.6%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 316. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 107.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Soto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    3Tabilo A. (8)Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2