Matilde Jorge vs Manon Leonard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Maribor, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
82

Chances of winning


Matilde Jorge
52.3%
Manon Leonard
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Manon Leonard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Matilde Jorge - Manon Leonard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.71)

    1.96
    (2.02)
    7.3%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jorge is ranked WTA: 245. Leonard is ranked WTA: 272.
    • Jorge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leonard's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Matilde Jorge
    Latest results of Manon Leonard
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Korpatsch T. (1)Vandromme J.0 : 2
    2Novak K.Belgraver J.1 : 2
    3Jorge M.Leonard M.2 : 0
    4Knutson G.Prozorova T. (8)1 : 2
    5Klimovicova L. (4)Parrizas-Diaz N.2 : 0
    6Friedsam A-L.Siskova A.0 : 2
    7Senica A.Martynov D.2 : 1
    8Hruncakova V.Ponchet J. (6)0 : 2
    9Samson L. (7)Ryser V.2 : 1
    10Brockmann T. J.Valdmannova V.0 : 2
    11Sebov K.Milic E. N.2 : 0
    12De Stefano S.Snigur D. (3)2 : 1
    13Minnen G. (5)Rosatello C.2 : 0
    14Lovric P.Watson H.0 : 2
    15Jorge F.Havlickova L.2 : 0
    16Bandecchi S.Vandewinkel H. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Vandromme J.Belgraver J.2 : 0
    2Jorge M.Prozorova T. (8)0 : 2
    3Klimovicova L. (4)Siskova A.1 : 2
    4Senica A.Ponchet J. (6)0 : 2
    5Samson L. (7)Valdmannova V.0 : 2
    6Sebov K.De Stefano S.1 : 2
    7Minnen G. (5)Watson H.2 : 1
    8Jorge F.Vandewinkel H. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vandromme J.Prozorova T. (8)0 : 2
    2Siskova A.Ponchet J. (6)0 : 2
    3Valdmannova V.De Stefano S.2 : 0
    4Minnen G. (5)Vandewinkel H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Prozorova T. (8)Ponchet J. (6)2 : 0
    2Valdmannova V.Vandewinkel H. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Prozorova T. (8)Vandewinkel H. (2)2 : 0