Yasmine Mansouri vs Matilde Jorge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/02/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
52
1st serve percentage
65%66%
1st serve points won
70% (47/67)66% (47/71)
2nd serve points won
36% (13/36)49% (18/37)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)43% (3/7)
1st return points won
34% (24/71)31% (21/67)
2nd return points won
51% (19/37)64% (23/36)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
58% (60/103)60% (65/108)
Return Points Won
40% (43/108)42% (43/103)
Total Points Won
49% (103/211)51% (108/211)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
60% (9/15)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)40% (6/15)
Total games won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Yasmine Mansouri
34.4%
Matilde Jorge
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yasmine Mansouri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yasmine Mansouri's form might have worsened.
  • Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Jorge's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasmine Mansouri than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yasmine Mansouri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Yasmine Mansouri - Matilde Jorge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.25)

    1.43
    (1.57)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Yasmine Mansouri - Matilde Jorge?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jorge (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mansouri is ranked WTA: 406. Jorge is ranked WTA: 257.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mansouri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Jorge will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mansouri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yasmine Mansouri - Matilde Jorge were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Matilde Jorge - Yasmine Mansouri 2:0
    Latest results of Yasmine Mansouri
    Latest results of Matilde Jorge
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Santos A.F. (WC)2 : 0
    2Crawley F.Matias M. (WC)2 : 0
    3Knutson G. (RET.)Akli A.0 : 1
    4Appleton E. (WC)Quevedo K. (7)0 : 2
    5Yuan Y. (4)Koevermans A.0 : 2
    6Sorribes Tormo S.Kostovic T.1 : 2
    7Mansouri Y. (Q)Jorge M.1 : 2
    8Jorge F.Klimovicova L. (6)2 : 0
    9Tomova V. (8)Jakupovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    10Tikhonova A.Liang E. S. (Q)0 : 2
    11Avanesyan E.Voloshchuk A. (WC)1 : 2
    12Monnet C.Lamens S. (3)1 : 2
    13Snigur D. (5)Hruncakova V.2 : 0
    14Bains N. (Q)Palicova B.2 : 0
    15Shymanovich I.Parrizas-Diaz N.2 : 0
    16Werner C.Kraus S. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Crawley F.2 : 1
    2Akli A.Quevedo K. (7)0 : 2
    3Koevermans A.Kostovic T.0 : 2
    4Jorge M. (RET.)Jorge F.0 : 1
    5Tomova V. (8)Liang E. S.2 : 1
    6Voloshchuk A.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    7Snigur D. (5)Bains N.2 : 0
    8Shymanovich I.Kraus S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Quevedo K. (7)2 : 0
    2Kostovic T.Jorge F.2 : 0
    3Tomova V. (8)Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    4Snigur D. (5)Kraus S. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Kostovic T.2 : 1
    2Lamens S. (3)Snigur D. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Golubic V. (1)Snigur D. (5)0 : 2