Matonense vs Barretos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Matonense - Barretos
Result
2:3
01/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Fuzil (Pen),
  • 18', 0 - 2, ,
  • 20', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', 1 - 3, ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Matonense
13.1%
Draw
20.3%
Barretos
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.7% 22.8% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 20.3% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Barretos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barretos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matonense - Barretos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.98
    (6.2)
    4.51
    (4)
    1.38
    (1.46)
    9.2%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 12).
    • Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Barretos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Barretos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Barretos is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matonense
    Latest results of Barretos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0