Matonense vs EC São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Matonense - EC São Bernardo
Result
1:2
18/02/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 7

Chances of winning


Matonense
16.1%
Draw
23.6%
EC São Bernardo
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 23.8% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 23.3% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Matonense - EC São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.61
    (5.09)
    3.83
    (3.8)
    1.49
    (1.55)
    11%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • EC São Bernardo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Matonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match EC São Bernardo is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matonense
    Latest results of EC São Bernardo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3