Matonense vs Joseense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Matonense - Joseense
Result
1:2
26/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kevin Emmel ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Erick ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Neco E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Matonense
13.9%
Draw
20.9%
Joseense
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.9% 23.8% 64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4% 22.9% 66.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Matonense - Joseense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.55
    (7.63)
    4.37
    (3.83)
    1.4
    (1.42)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Matonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Joseense is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Joseense to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matonense
    Latest results of Joseense
    23.02.2025 Paulista - Joseense 1:0
    18.02.2025 Joseense - Jabaquara 1:0
    09.02.2025 Joseense - Penapolense 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0