Matonense vs Joseense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kevin Emmel ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Erick ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Neco E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Matonense
13.9%
Draw
20.9%
Joseense
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.9% 23.8% 64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4% 22.9% 66.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Matonense - Joseense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.55
    (7.63)
    4.37
    (3.83)
    1.4
    (1.42)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Matonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Joseense is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Joseense to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matonense
    Latest results of Joseense
    23.02.2025 Paulista - Joseense 1:0
    18.02.2025 Joseense - Jabaquara 1:0
    09.02.2025 Joseense - Penapolense 3:1
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro751112:4816
    2Lemense751110:3716
    3Penapolense751110:6416
    4Sao-Carlense743012:6615
    5Barretos EC74306:2415
    6Jacarei FC74126:5113
    7Sao Caetano73228:5311
    8Taquaritinga73137:6110
    9Tanabi72326:429
    10ECUS SP71514:408
    11Vocem70521:3-25
    12Comercial71155:9-44
    13Jabaquara71151:8-74
    14AEA Aracatuba71153:13-104
    15Colorado Caieiras70432:6-44
    16Nacional SP70160:9-91

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: )