Matonense vs Marília – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Matonense - Marília
Result
0:6
21/02/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


Matonense
9%
Draw
18.4%
Marília
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.3% 25.8% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14% 25.3% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matonense's form might have worsened.
  • Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marília's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marília, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matonense - Marília Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.13
    (6.31)
    4.95
    (3.5)
    1.25
    (1.51)
    9.9%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 10).
    • Matonense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Marília is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Marília is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Marília to win the game is with odds 1.51.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matonense
    Latest results of Marília
    17.02.2024 Marília - Lemense FC 1:1
    10.02.2024 Itapirense - Marília 1:1
    07.02.2024 Marília - Bandeirante 1:1
    24.01.2024 Rio Preto - Marília 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3