Matonense vs VOCEM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Matonense - VOCEM
Result
2:3
11/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Rafael Tanque ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Fernandinho Bahia ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 60', 1 - 2, Ibson ,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Da Ora ,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Luiz ,

Chances of winning


Matonense
9.5%
Draw
13.7%
VOCEM
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.6% 22.2% 61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 21.1% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matonense's form might have worsened.
  • VOCEM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VOCEM's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VOCEM than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VOCEM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matonense - VOCEM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.68
    (5.36)
    6.72
    (4)
    1.2
    (1.45)
    8.3%
    (12.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 13).
    • Matonense is Relegated to Paulista B (First stage )
    • Matonense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches VOCEM is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match VOCEM is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's VOCEM to win the game is with odds 1.45.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matonense
    08.03.2025 Nacional SP - Matonense 3:2
    01.03.2025 Matonense - Barretos 2:3
    26.02.2025 Matonense - Joseense 1:2
    Latest results of VOCEM
    08.03.2025 VOCEM - União Barbarense 2:1
    02.03.2025 Taquaritinga - VOCEM 2:0
    26.02.2025 VOCEM - Colorado Caieiras 3:3
    22.02.2025 Inter de Bebedouro - VOCEM 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0