Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/11/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
116
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
116
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Kubo R. , Hashimoto R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hayashi M. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 55', Hashimoto R. 🟨,
  • 57', Tone R. , Shimada T. ,
  • 58', Ando T. , Maeda R. ,
  • 72', Nishimura M. , Kitsui T. ,
  • 72', Hashimoto R. , Tachino S. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Akiyama T. (Own goal),
  • 80', Masuda S. , Nose R. ,
  • 80', Takei S. , Mochizuki S. ,
  • 85', Ogawa D. , Saso K. ,
  • 90', Murakoshi K. , Taki Y. ,
  • 90', Ohashi H. , Yamamoto K. ,
  • 90+3', Tanaka S. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
26.3%
Draw
29.2%
Osaka
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 29.5% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 29.4% 39.5%

Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.54
(2.98)
3.19
(3.14)
2.09
(2.36)
7.5%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Osaka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
    • Matsumoto Yamaga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Matsumoto Yamaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Osaka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka 2:1
    07.05.2025 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:0
    14.07.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka 2:0
    23.03.2024 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:0
    03.09.2023 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 3:1
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Osaka
    10.11.2025 Osaka - Nagano Parceiro 3:0
    02.11.2025 Fukushima United - Osaka 0:1
    24.10.2025 Osaka - Tochigi 0:1
    19.10.2025 Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka 1:2
    10.10.2025 Osaka - Ryūkyū 3:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Osaka (3)Kanazawa (6)1 : 0
    2Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)Kagoshima Utd (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Osaka (3)Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)