Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan Emperors Cup Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka
Result
2:1 ET
25/05/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Emperors Cup - 1/64-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Yoshimitsu M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 1, Kawakami R. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 97', 2 - 1, Kikui Y. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
24.4%
Draw
30.9%
Osaka
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 31.3% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 31% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matsumoto Yamaga's form might have worsened.
  • Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (2.99)
    3.03
    (2.96)
    2.09
    (2.47)
    7.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka were as follows:
    07.05.2025 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:0
    14.07.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka 2:0
    23.03.2024 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:0
    03.09.2023 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 3:1
    03.05.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka 1:0
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Osaka
    18.05.2025 Sagamihara - Osaka 1:2
    07.05.2025 Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:0
    03.05.2025 Tochigi City - Osaka 2:1
    12.04.2025 Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe 1:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Vissel KobeBye
    2KamatamareKochi United2 : 3
    3KofuBye
    4Fukui Utd.Honda FC1 : 0
    5Albirex NiigataBye
    6Fukuyama CityFC Tokushima2 : 1
    7Kashiwa ReysolBye
    8Sendai U.Toyo University2 : 4
    9Kawasaki FrontaleBye
    10Fukushima UtdTokyo International University9 : 1
    11IwataBye
    12MitoSagamihara0 : 1
    13Yokohama F. MarinosBye
    14Reinmeer AomoriBTOP Hokkaido5 : 0
    15IwakiBye
    16ByeBlaublitz
    17Gamba OsakaBye
    18Veertien MieYamanashi Gakuin1 : 0
    19Montedio YamagataBye
    20ImabariKagoshima Utd0 : 2
    25Kashima AntlersBye
    26KusatsuHosei1 : 0
    27V-Varen NagasakiBye
    28Omiya ArdijaTsukuba Univ.0 : 1
    29Avispa FukuokaBye
    30Okinawa SVVerspah Oita4 : 1
    31OkayamaBye
    32Belugarosso IwamiGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 1
    33Sanfrecce HiroshimaBye
    34Brew SagaHirondelle Kumamoto2 : 1
    35Fujieda MYFCBye
    36Baleine ShimonosekiInternational Pacific Univesity2 : 1
    37Shonan BellmareBye
    38GifuToyama Shinjo3 : 1
    39Shimizu S-PulseBye
    40YamagaOsaka2 : 1
    41FC TokyoBye
    42KanazawaChukyo6 : 0
    43Hokkaido Consadole SapporoBye
    44Oita TrinitaLvnirosso2 : 0
    45Cerezo OsakaBye
    46WakayamaBasara Hyogo4 : 3
    47TokushimaBye
    48ByeRenofa Yamaguchi
    49MachidaBye
    50Kyoto SangyoMoriyama Samurai3 : 1
    51Vegalta SendaiBye
    52ToyamaJuntendo Univ.2 : 1
    53KyotoBye
    54Nara ClubNiigata University3 : 1
    55Yokohama FCBye
    56Grulla MoriokaNorth Asia University6 : 0
    57VerdyBye
    58Tochigi SCOyama5 : 0
    59Sagan TosuBye
    60EhimeMitsubishi Nagasaki1 : 0
    61Nagoya GrampusBye
    62Veroskronos TsunoGainare Tottori2 : 1
    63ChibaBye
    64ByeKumamoto

    1/32-finals
    1Vissel KobeKochi United4 : 1
    2KofuFukui Utd.2 : 1
    3Albirex NiigataFukuyama City1 : 0
    4Kashiwa ReysolToyo University0 : 2
    5Kawasaki FrontaleFukushima Utd4 : 3
    6IwataSagamihara1 : 2
    7Yokohama F. MarinosReinmeer Aomori0 : 2
    8IwakiBlaublitz1 : 2
    9Gamba OsakaVeertien Mie2 : 1
    10Montedio YamagataKagoshima Utd2 : 1
    13Kashima AntlersKusatsu4 : 0
    14V-Varen NagasakiTsukuba Univ.2 : 1
    15Avispa FukuokaOkinawa SV2 : 0
    16OkayamaGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 2
    17Sanfrecce HiroshimaBrew Saga3 : 1
    18Fujieda MYFCBaleine Shimonoseki2 : 0
    19Shonan BellmareGifu2 : 0
    20Shimizu S-PulseYamaga4 : 2
    21FC TokyoKanazawa3 : 1
    22Hokkaido Consadole SapporoOita Trinita2 : 3
    23Cerezo OsakaWakayama5 : 0
    24TokushimaRenofa Yamaguchi2 : 1
    25MachidaKyoto Sangyo2 : 1
    26Vegalta SendaiToyama0 : 1
    27KyotoNara Club1 : 0
    28Yokohama FCGrulla Morioka2 : 1
    29VerdyTochigi SC3 : 1
    30Sagan TosuEhime1 : 0
    31Nagoya GrampusVeroskronos Tsuno3 : 0
    32ChibaKumamoto1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Vissel KobeKofu2 : 1
    2Albirex NiigataToyo University1 : 2
    3Kawasaki FrontaleSagamihara0 : 1
    4Reinmeer AomoriBlaublitz1 : 2
    5Gamba OsakaMontedio Yamagata4 : 5
    7Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki2 : 1
    8Avispa FukuokaGiravanz Kitakyushu1 : 0
    9Sanfrecce HiroshimaFujieda MYFC5 : 2
    10Shonan BellmareShimizu S-Pulse0 : 1
    11FC TokyoOita Trinita2 : 0
    12Cerezo OsakaTokushima2 : 0
    13MachidaToyama2 : 1
    14KyotoYokohama FC4 : 3
    15VerdySagan Tosu1 : 0
    16Nagoya GrampusKumamoto2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Vissel KobeToyo University
    2SagamiharaBlaublitz
    3Montedio YamagataUrawa Reds
    4Kashima AntlersAvispa Fukuoka
    5Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-Pulse
    6FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
    7MachidaKyoto
    8VerdyNagoya Grampus