Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football YBC Levain Cup Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagan Tosu
Result
1:0 ET
26/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Tiago Santana 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Hino S. , Nishikawa J. ,
  • 58', Shinkawa S. , Slivka V. ,
  • 69', Yamada H. , Matsuda E. ,
  • 69', Kitajima F. , Sakurai T. ,
  • 72', Kokubu R. , Maeda R. ,
  • 72', Lucas Vargas , Tanaka S. ,
  • 78', Hirase D. 🟨,
  • 82', Horigome Y. , Arai H. ,
  • 90+4', Slivka V. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Slivka V. , Higashiguchi A. ,
  • 91', Saso K. , Inafuku T. ,
  • 94', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. (Pen),
  • 106', Tiago Santana , Nonomura T. ,
  • 107', Inafuku T. 🟨,
  • 114', Homma J. , Yamamoto R. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
24.5%
Draw
29.8%
Sagan Tosu
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21% 28.9% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (4.4)
    3.11
    (3.2)
    2.02
    (1.85)
    8.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tosu will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    15.03.2025 Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija 1:0
    09.03.2025 Iwaki - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    01.03.2025 Sagan Tosu - Imabari 1:4
    22.02.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu 1:0
    Draw
    Second stage

    Quarter-finals
    1Urawa RedsKawasaki Frontale2 : 3, 1 : 1
    2Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol0 : 1, 1 : 4
    3Yokohama FCVissel Kobe0 : 1, 2 : 0
    4Shonan BellmareSanfrecce Hiroshima1 : 4, 3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kawasaki FrontaleKashiwa Reysol
    2Yokohama FCSanfrecce Hiroshima

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2