Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma
Result
1:3
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Corner Kicks
413
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
911
Corner Kicks
413
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Nishimura Y. , Yamanaka A. (A),
  • 43', Matsumura G. 🟥,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Koyanagi T. , Nishimura Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ohashi H. , Takahashi S. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Takahashi Y. ,
  • 56', Shimokawa T. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 56', Takazawa Y. , Kawata A. ,
  • 60', Higuchi D. , Ogawa D. ,
  • 60', Nonomura T. , Kokubu R. ,
  • 60', Yamamoto R. , Mawatari K. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Tanaka S. ,
  • 65', Nishimura Y. , Yamauchi R. ,
  • 65', Koyanagi T. , Ohata R. ,
  • 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
  • 81', Murakoshi K. , Maeda R. ,
  • 87', Sakurai A. , Kikuchi K. ,
  • 90+3', Kawata A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kikui Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
44.3%
Draw
27.5%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.6% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.12)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.21
    (3.17)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Matsumoto Yamaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure30196537:172063
    2Tochigi City30186651:312060
    3Kagoshima Utd30159656:322454
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki30158747:351253
    5Osaka30157841:281352
    6Nara Club30139841:33848
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu301341331:29243
    8Tochigi SC301271131:29243
    9Kanazawa291251236:35141
    10Fukushima Utd301181149:59-1041
    11Gifu301081238:42-438
    12Sagamihara309101129:40-1137
    13Yamaga29991131:33-236
    14Gainare Tottori301061429:34-536
    15Ryukyu30971431:40-934
    16Kochi United30971437:51-1434
    17Nagano30781526:42-1629
    18Kusatsu306101439:48-928
    19Kamatamare30771635:47-1228
    20Azul Claro Numazu30591632:42-1024

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