Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma
Result
1:3
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Corner Kicks
413
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
911
Corner Kicks
413
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Nishimura Y. , Yamanaka A. (A),
  • 43', Matsumura G. 🟥,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Koyanagi T. , Nishimura Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ohashi H. , Takahashi S. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Takahashi Y. ,
  • 56', Shimokawa T. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 56', Takazawa Y. , Kawata A. ,
  • 60', Higuchi D. , Ogawa D. ,
  • 60', Nonomura T. , Kokubu R. ,
  • 60', Yamamoto R. , Mawatari K. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Tanaka S. ,
  • 65', Nishimura Y. , Yamauchi R. ,
  • 65', Koyanagi T. , Ohata R. ,
  • 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
  • 81', Murakoshi K. , Maeda R. ,
  • 87', Sakurai A. , Kikuchi K. ,
  • 90+3', Kawata A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kikui Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
44.3%
Draw
27.5%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.6% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.12)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.21
    (3.17)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Matsumoto Yamaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
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    1Vanraure24155433:161750
    2Osaka24136536:191745
    3Tochigi City24136536:241245
    4Kagoshima Utd24128446:252144
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki24118533:26741
    6Nara Club24117633:25840
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu241031125:25033
    8Gainare Tottori24951023:25-232
    9Tochigi SC24951021:23-232
    10Yamaga2487926:28-231
    11Kochi United2487933:40-731
    12Fukushima Utd2487939:49-1031
    13Sagamihara2479824:30-630
    14Kanazawa24851127:31-429
    15Ryukyu24771024:27-328
    16Kusatsu2469932:35-327
    17Nagano24661217:32-1524
    18Kamatamare24571223:30-722
    19Gifu24481225:39-1420
    20Azul Claro Numazu24391225:32-718

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