Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma
Result
1:3
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Corner Kicks
413
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
911
Corner Kicks
413
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Nishimura Y. , Yamanaka A. (A),
  • 43', Matsumura G. 🟥,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Koyanagi T. , Nishimura Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ohashi H. , Takahashi S. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Takahashi Y. ,
  • 56', Shimokawa T. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 56', Takazawa Y. , Kawata A. ,
  • 60', Higuchi D. , Ogawa D. ,
  • 60', Nonomura T. , Kokubu R. ,
  • 60', Yamamoto R. , Mawatari K. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Tanaka S. ,
  • 65', Nishimura Y. , Yamauchi R. ,
  • 65', Koyanagi T. , Ohata R. ,
  • 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
  • 81', Murakoshi K. , Maeda R. ,
  • 87', Sakurai A. , Kikuchi K. ,
  • 90+3', Kawata A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kikui Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
44.3%
Draw
27.5%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.6% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.12)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.21
    (3.17)
    10.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Matsumoto Yamaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure33216643:182569
    2Tochigi City33207656:322467
    3Kagoshima Utd331710663:352861
    4Osaka33177946:301658
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki32169752:371557
    6Kanazawa331651245:37853
    7Nara Club331491043:38551
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu331551338:32650
    9Tochigi SC331471233:31249
    10Fukushima Utd331281351:62-1144
    11Sagamihara3311101232:42-1043
    12Gifu331181443:50-741
    13Gainare Tottori331161633:42-939
    14Ryukyu331071634:46-1237
    15Yamaga32991432:37-536
    16Nagano33981629:45-1635
    17Kochi United33971739:57-1834
    18Kusatsu337101642:54-1231
    19Kamatamare33871838:53-1531
    20Azul Claro Numazu33591935:49-1424

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