Result
1:3
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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43% | 57% |
Total shots |
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12 | 22 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Total shots |
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12 | 22 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 11 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 13 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Nishimura Y. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
- 43', Matsumura G. 🟥,
- 45', 0 - 2, Koyanagi T. ⚽, Nishimura Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ohashi H. ↓, Takahashi S. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, Takahashi Y. ⚽,
- 56', Shimokawa T. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 56', Takazawa Y. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
- 60', Higuchi D. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 60', Nonomura T. ↓, Kokubu R. ↑,
- 60', Yamamoto R. ↓, Mawatari K. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 3, Tanaka S. ⚽,
- 65', Nishimura Y. ↓, Yamauchi R. ↑,
- 65', Koyanagi T. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
- 81', Murakoshi K. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
- 87', Sakurai A. ↓, Kikuchi K. ↑,
- 90+3', Kawata A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kikui Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga 44.3% | Draw 27.5% | Thespakusatsu Gunma 28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.12) |
3.3 ↑ (3.2) |
3.21 ↑ (3.17) |
10.3% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Matsumoto Yamaga might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thespakusatsu Gunma won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Thespakusatsu Gunma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma were as follows:
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vanraure | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 37:17 | 20 | 63 |
2 | Tochigi City | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 51:31 | 20 | 60 |
3 | Kagoshima Utd | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 53 |
5 | Osaka | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 52 |
6 | Nara Club | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
8 | Tochigi SC | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
9 | Kanazawa | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
10 | Fukushima Utd | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 49:59 | -10 | 41 |
11 | Gifu | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
12 | Sagamihara | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Yamaga | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
14 | Gainare Tottori | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 36 |
15 | Ryukyu | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:40 | -9 | 34 |
16 | Kochi United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:51 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Nagano | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 29 |
18 | Kusatsu | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 28 |
19 | Kamatamare | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation