Result
1:3
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Nishimura Y. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
- 43', Matsumura G. 🟥,
- 45', 0 - 2, Koyanagi T. ⚽, Nishimura Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ohashi H. ↓, Takahashi S. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, Takahashi Y. ⚽,
- 56', Shimokawa T. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 56', Takazawa Y. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
- 60', Higuchi D. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 60', Nonomura T. ↓, Kokubu R. ↑,
- 60', Yamamoto R. ↓, Mawatari K. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 3, Tanaka S. ⚽,
- 65', Nishimura Y. ↓, Yamauchi R. ↑,
- 65', Koyanagi T. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
- 81', Murakoshi K. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
- 87', Sakurai A. ↓, Kikuchi K. ↑,
- 90+3', Kawata A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kikui Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
44.3% | Draw
27.5% | Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.12) |
3.3 ↑
(3.2) |
3.21 ↑
(3.17) |
10.3%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Matsumoto Yamaga might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thespakusatsu Gunma won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Thespakusatsu Gunma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma were as follows:
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 34:17 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 51 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:30 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Osaka | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Fukushima Utd | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 47:54 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Sagamihara | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Yamaga | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 35 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Kochi United | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Gifu | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 17 | Kusatsu | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 27 |
| 18 | Nagano | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20:36 | -16 | 26 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31:40 | -9 | 25 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:40 | -11 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
