Matt Ponchet vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Poitiers, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
23

Chances of winning


Matt Ponchet
58.9%
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matt Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matt Ponchet than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Matt Ponchet - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.54)

    2.29
    (2.4)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ponchet is ranked ATP: 828. Livet Novkirichka is ranked ATP: 1353.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ponchet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ponchet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Matt Ponchet
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Perot R. (1)Picard M.2 : 1
    2Pierre H.Reco A.2 : 1
    3Sabas M.Fomba L.0 : 2
    4Bouquet L.Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)0 : 2
    5Massard L. (3)Ponchet M.1 : 2
    6Dhokia R.Livet Novkirichka F.0 : 2
    7Couturier L.Lorusso L.2 : 1
    8Kaouk M.Matusevich A. (8)1 : 2
    9Tepmahc N. (5)Witz A.1 : 2
    10Branger L.Maric M.2 : 1
    11Gautier A.Ifi N.1 : 2
    12Rivet M.Beauge M. (4)0 : 2
    13Bobichon M. (6)Theate P.2 : 0
    14Wazny A.Domenc M.0 : 2
    15Bastiaansen P.Dussin L.0 : 2
    16Rossi L.Donnet E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Perot R. (1)Pierre H.2 : 0
    2Fomba L.Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)0 : 2
    3Ponchet M.Livet Novkirichka F.1 : 2
    4Couturier L.Matusevich A. (8)0 : 2
    5Witz A.Branger L.0 : 2
    6Ifi N.Beauge M. (4)0 : 2
    7Bobichon M. (6)Domenc M.1 : 2
    8Dussin L.Rossi L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Perot R. (1)Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)1 : 2
    2Livet Novkirichka F.Matusevich A. (8)0 : 2
    3Branger L.Beauge M. (4)0 : 2
    4Domenc M.Rossi L.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)Matusevich A. (8)0 : 2
    2Beauge M. (4)Rossi L.1 : 2

    Final
    1Matusevich A. (8)Rossi L.