Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Vienna Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
0:2
20/10/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
512
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
61%62%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (33/47)82% (36/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (15/30)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)100% (4/4)
1st Return Points Won
20% (9/44)40% (19/47)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)50% (15/30)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)22% (2/9)
Winners
1528
Unforced Errors
1311
Net Points Won
56% (10/18)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
63% (48/76)69% (49/71)
Return Points Won
31% (22/71)37% (28/76)
Total Points Won
48% (70/147)52% (77/147)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)100% (11/11)
Return Games Won
0% (0/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
38.3%
Matteo Arnaldi
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.16)

    1.54
    (1.7)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 69. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Arnaldi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kovacevic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic 2:1
    05.08.2023 Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic 2:0
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Altmaier D.
    2Machac T.Cobolli F.
    3Cerundolo F.Michelsen A.
    4Tabilo A.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Rodionov J. (WC)2 : 0
    6Ugo Carabelli C.Misolic F. (WC)
    7Popyrin A.Berrettini M.
    8Norrie C.Rublev A. (7)
    9Medvedev D. (6)Borges N.
    10Dzumhur D. (Q)Moutet C.
    11Etcheverry T. M.Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)
    12Tsitsipas S.Musetti L. (4)
    13Khachanov K. (5)Griekspoor T.1 : 2
    14Darderi L.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    15Kovacevic A. (Q)Arnaldi M. (Q)0 : 2
    16Fearnley J. (Q)Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bublik A. (8)
    3De Minaur A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.
    8Arnaldi M.TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2