Result
2:1
19/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (41/57) | 70% (46/66) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (23/35) | 54% (19/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (20/66) | 32% (18/57) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 34% (12/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 17% (1/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 100% (18/0) | 76% (13/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (62/90) | 65% (64/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (34/98) | 31% (28/90) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (96/188) | 49% (92/188) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 88% (14/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 7% (1/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (15/31) |
Chances of winning
Arthur Cazaux
53.3% | Matteo Arnaldi
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Arnaldi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.2) |
|
2.17 ↑
(1.68) |
1.1%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Arnaldi?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Matteo Arnaldi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Cazaux is ranked ATP: 84. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 73.
- Cazaux has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arnaldi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cazaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Cazaux won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Arthur Cazaux has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Arthur Cazaux?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
15.04.2024
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Arthur Cazaux
Arnaldi M. retired
Latest results of Arthur Cazaux
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kovacevic A. | Royer V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zeppieri G. (Q) | Sun F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Tien L. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Moutet C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cazaux A. | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Etcheverry T. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hijikata R. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Berrettini M. (8) | Svrcina D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bu Y. | Zhang Z. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Vukic A. | Goffin D. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Bublik A. (3) | |
| 13 | Mannarino A. (6) | Wu Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Walton A. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Basavareddy N. (Q) | Cilic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Medvedev D. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (1) | Royer V. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Zeppieri G. | Tien L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Moutet C. (4) | Cazaux A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Etcheverry T. M. | Hijikata R. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Zhang Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Wu Y. | Korda S. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Basavareddy N. | Medvedev D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Royer V. | Tien L. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Moutet C. (4) | Etcheverry T. M. (RET.) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Svrcina D. | Bublik A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Wu Y. | Medvedev D. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. | Moutet C. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (3) | Wu Y. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Royer V. | Bublik A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
