Result
0:2
10/03/2025 at 17:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 85% (28/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 75% (9/12) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 29% (8/28) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 90% (9/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 82% (37/45) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (8/45) | 43% (24/56) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (40/101) | 60% (61/101) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
52.4% | Brandon Nakashima
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.18) |
|
2 ↑
(1.69) |
5%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Nakashima will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 43.5% – 83.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Brandon Nakashima?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Brandon Nakashima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
14.02.2025
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Brandon Nakashima
2:0
08.11.2022
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Brandon Nakashima
2:3
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo J. M. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (26) | |
| 5 | Vacherot V. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Borges N. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ruud C. (13) | |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zheng M. (WC) | Kopriva V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Maestrelli F. (Q) | Hijikata R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Darderi L. (20) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Arnaldi M. | McDonald M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Korda S. | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (6) | |
| 17 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Majchrzak K. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Hurkacz H. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Moutet C. (31) | |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bye | |
| 22 | Royer V. | Bonzi B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Marozsan F. | Bautista-Agut R. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Draper J. (14) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Jodar R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Baez S. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (22) | |
| 29 | Humbert U. (32) | Bye | |
| 30 | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Fearnley J. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Fritz T. (7) | |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Fucsovics M. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Fils A. (30) | |
| 37 | Rublev A. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bellucci M. | Diallo G. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Monfils G. (WC) | Galarneau A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | |
| 41 | Cobolli F. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Altmaier D. (RET.) | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | Brooksby J. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (21) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Damm M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (4) | |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Halys Q. | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Tien L. (25) | |
| 53 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Svajda Z. (WC) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Navone M. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Mensik J. (12) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Fonseca J. | Collignon R. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Bergs Z. | Struff J-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Paul T. (23) | |
| 61 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Tsitsipas S. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo J. M. | Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26) | |
| 3 | Vacherot V. (24) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Ruud C. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Hijikata R. | Darderi L. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Norrie C. (27) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Korda S. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Moutet C. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Draper J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Baez S. | Lehecka J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Humbert U. (32) | Michelsen A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Fearnley J. | Fritz T. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (RET.) | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 1 |
| 19 | Rublev A. (17) | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Monfils G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (15) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Opelka R. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Walton A. | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Giron M. | Mensik J. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (16) | Fonseca J. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bergs Z. | Paul T. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Svrcina D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. (24) | Ruud C. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Hijikata R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Norrie C. (27) | De Minaur A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Draper J. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. | Fritz T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Fucsovics M. | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Diallo G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (15) | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (28) | Zverev A. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Tien L. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Mensik J. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Fonseca J. | Paul T. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Shapovalov D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hijikata R. | Norrie C. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Djokovic N. (3) | Draper J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Fils A. (30) | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tiafoe F. (21) | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tien L. (25) | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Fonseca J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Norrie C. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Draper J. (14) | Medvedev D. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fils A. (30) | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tien L. (25) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Medvedev D. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (4) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Medvedev D. (11) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
