Result
0:2
10/03/2025 at 17:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 85% (28/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 75% (9/12) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 29% (8/28) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 90% (9/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 82% (37/45) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (8/45) | 43% (24/56) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (40/101) | 60% (61/101) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
52.4% | Brandon Nakashima
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.18) |
|
2 ↑
(1.69) |
5%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Nakashima will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 43.5% – 83.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Brandon Nakashima?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Brandon Nakashima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
14.02.2025
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Brandon Nakashima
2:0
08.11.2022
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Brandon Nakashima
2:3
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kecmanovic M. | Griekspoor T. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Marozsan F. | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Mpetshi Perricard G. (29) | |
| 5 | Machac T. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Bublik A. | Watanuki Y. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Dzumhur D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (16) | |
| 9 | Rune H. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Moutet C. | Thompson J. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Munar J. | Nishikori K. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Humbert U. (18) | |
| 13 | Berrettini M. (28) | Bye | |
| 14 | Carballes Baena R. | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Seyboth Wild T. | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (8) | |
| 17 | Ruud C. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Giron M. | Basilashvili N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Bergs Z. | Quinn E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Popyrin A. (26) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (20) | Bye | |
| 22 | Zhang Z. | Diallo G. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Safiullin R. | Opelka R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Musetti L. (15) | |
| 25 | Paul T. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Boyer T. (WC) | Vukic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Norrie C. | Nardi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (23) | |
| 29 | Michelsen A. (31) | Bye | |
| 30 | Smith C. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Bu Y. | Basavareddy N. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Medvedev D. (5) | |
| 33 | Rublev A. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Arnaldi M. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 35 | Shevchenko A. | Hijikata R. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Nakashima B. (32) | |
| 37 | Khachanov K. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Etcheverry T. M. | Mensik J. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Navone M. | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Shelton B. (11) | |
| 41 | Draper J. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Fearnley J. | Fonseca J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Bonzi B. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (17) | |
| 45 | Tabilo A. (30) | Bye | |
| 46 | Tu L. (Q) | Lajovic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Gigante M. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Fritz T. (3) | |
| 49 | Djokovic N. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Van De Zandschulp B. (LL) | Kyrgios N. (RET.) (PR) | 1 : 0 |
| 51 | McDonald M. (WC) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (25) | |
| 53 | Hurkacz H. (21) | Bye | |
| 54 | Darderi L. | Gaston H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Goffin D. | Sonego L. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | De Minaur A. (9) | |
| 57 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Rinderknech A. | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 59 | Struff J-L. | Monfils G. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Korda S. (24) | |
| 61 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Zeppieri G. (Q) | Walton A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Halys Q. | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Griekspoor T. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. (RET.) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (29) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Machac T. (RET.) (19) | Watanuki Y. | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Dzumhur D. | Tiafoe F. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (12) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Nishikori K. | Humbert U. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Berrettini M. (28) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Seyboth Wild T. | Tsitsipas S. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Ruud C. (4) | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bergs Z. | Popyrin A. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Fils A. (20) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Safiullin R. | Musetti L. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Paul T. (10) | Boyer T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Norrie C. | Lehecka J. (23) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Michelsen A. (31) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bu Y. | Medvedev D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Rublev A. (7) | Arnaldi M. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Hijikata R. | Nakashima B. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Khachanov K. (22) | Mensik J. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Navone M. | Shelton B. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Draper J. (13) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Auger-Aliassime F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Tabilo A. (30) | Lajovic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Gigante M. | Fritz T. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Djokovic N. (6) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | McDonald M. | Cerundolo F. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Hurkacz H. (21) | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Goffin D. | De Minaur A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Monfils G. | Korda S. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Halys Q. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Griekspoor T. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Watanuki Y. | Tiafoe F. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rune H. (12) | Humbert U. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Berrettini M. (28) | Tsitsipas S. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Giron M. | Popyrin A. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fils A. (20) | Musetti L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Paul T. (10) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. (RET.) (31) | Medvedev D. (5) | 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Arnaldi M. | Nakashima B. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Khachanov K. (22) | Shelton B. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Draper J. (13) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Tabilo A. (30) | Fritz T. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Cerundolo F. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Hurkacz H. (21) | De Minaur A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Monfils G. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Griekspoor T. | Watanuki Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rune H. (12) | Tsitsipas S. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Fils A. (20) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Paul T. (10) | Medvedev D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nakashima B. (32) | Shelton B. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Draper J. (13) | Fritz T. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerundolo F. (25) | De Minaur A. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Griekspoor T. | Rune H. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Fils A. (20) | Medvedev D. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (11) | Draper J. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (25) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rune H. (12) | Medvedev D. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Draper J. (13) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Rune H. (12) | Draper J. (13) | 0 : 2 |
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