Matteo Arnaldi vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Match Stats


Aces
5	5
Double Faults
2	0
1st Serve Percentage
60%	61%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (32/44)	78% (29/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (18/29)	50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)	0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
24% (9/37)	27% (12/44)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (12/24)	38% (11/29)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)	25% (1/4)
Winners
21	19
Unforced Errors
11	3
Net Points Won
69% (9/13)	61% (20/33)
Max Points In Row
6	11
Service Points Won
68% (50/73)	68% (40/59)
Return Points Won
32% (19/59)	32% (23/73)
Total Points Won
52% (69/132)	48% (63/132)
Max Games In Row
3	3
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)	80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)	9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)	43% (9/21)

Chances of winning

Matteo Arnaldi
45.3%

Denis Shapovalov
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)		1.74 ↓ (1.85)	4.2% (3.8%)

What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov?

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 14 - 29.2%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 57.9% – 83.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Both players are now playing unstable.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Denis Shapovalov?

Matteo Arnaldi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Matteo Arnaldi?

Denis Shapovalov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:

31.05.2023 Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov 1:3

Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi

23.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

20.03.2024 Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

08.03.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:2 ✺

06.03.2024 Luca Van Assche - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

28.02.2024 Ben Shelton - Matteo Arnaldi 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Denis Shapovalov

23.03.2024 Denis Shapovalov - Stefanos Tsitsipas 2:0 ✺

20.03.2024 Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺

09.03.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Denis Shapovalov 2:1 ✺

08.03.2024 Botic Van De Zandschulp - Denis Shapovalov 0:2 ✺

26.02.2024 Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bonzi B.	Fearnley J. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Thompson J.	Giron M.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)
5	Fils A. (17)	Bye
6	Diallo G. (LL)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
7	Struff J-L.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (11)	Bye
10	Eubanks C. (WC)	Opelka R. (PR)	0 : 2
11	Arnaldi M.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Machac T. (20)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Safiullin R.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Bautista-Agut R.	Mensik J.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Draper J. (6)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	Sonego L.	Navone M.	2 : 0
19	Tirante T. A. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Shapovalov D. (27)
21	Walton A. (LL)	Bye
22	Martinez P.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
23	Wong C. (WC)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shelton B. (13)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Bu Y.	Norrie C.	2 : 0
27	Fonseca J.	Tien L.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Humbert U. (19)
29	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
30	Gaston H. (LL)	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	1 : 0
31	Bergs Z.	Borges N.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rublev A. (8)
33	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
34	Rinderknech A.	Munar J.	0 : 2
35	Monfils G.	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Lehecka J. (26)
37	Korda S. (24)	Bye
38	Spizzirri E. (WC)	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 1
39	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (9)
41	Musetti L. (15)	Bye
42	Seyboth Wild T.	Halys Q.	0 : 2
43	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)	Holt B. (Q)	2 : 1
47	Hijikata R.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Ruud C. (5)	Bye
50	Kovacevic A.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
51	Blockx A. (Q)	Moutet C.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tabilo A. (30)
53	Cerundolo F. (23)	Bye
54	Muller A.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Bublik A.	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Paul T. (12)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Comesana F. (Q)	Cina F. (WC)	0 : 2
59	McDonald M. (Q)	Kyrgios N. (PR)	1 : 2
60	Bye	Khachanov K. (22)
61	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
62	O'Connell C. (Q)	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
63	Vukic A.	Goffin D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
2	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)	2 : 0
3	Fils A. (17)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Davidovich Fokina A.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (11)	Opelka R.	1 : 2
6	Arnaldi M.	Machac T. (20)	1 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Safiullin R.	1 : 2
8	Mensik J.	Draper J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Fritz T. (3)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
10	Tirante T. A.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 2
11	Walton A. (LL)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
12	Wong C.	Shelton B. (13)	2 : 1
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Fonseca J.	Humbert U. (19)	2 : 0
15	Berrettini M. (29)	Gaston H.	2 : 1
16	Bergs Z.	Rublev A. (8)	2 : 0
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Munar J.	0 : 2
18	Monfils G.	Lehecka J. (26)	2 : 1
19	Korda S. (24)	Spizzirri E.	2 : 0
20	Tseng C. H.	Tsitsipas S. (9)	1 : 2
21	Musetti L. (15)	Halys Q.	2 : 1
22	Schoolkate T.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	0 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (32)	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
24	Hijikata R.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Ruud C. (5)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
26	Moutet C.	Tabilo A. (30)	1 : 2
27	Cerundolo F. (23)	Muller A.	2 : 0
28	Bublik A.	Paul T. (12)	1 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Cina F.	2 : 0
30	Kyrgios N.	Khachanov K. (22)	0 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (31)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
32	Goffin D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
2	Fils A. (17)	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 1
3	Opelka R.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
4	Safiullin R.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
5	Fritz T. (3)	Shapovalov D. (27)	2 : 0
6	Walton A.	Wong C.	2 : 1
7	De Minaur A. (10)	Fonseca J.	2 : 1
8	Berrettini M. (29)	Bergs Z.	2 : 0
9	Munar J.	Monfils G.	1 : 2
10	Korda S. (24)	Tsitsipas S. (9)	2 : 0
11	Musetti L. (15)	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 1
12	Ugo Carabelli C.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
13	Ruud C. (5)	Tabilo A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Cerundolo F. (23)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 0
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Khachanov K. (22)	2 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (31)	Goffin D.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fils A. (17)	1 : 2
2	Machac T. (20)	Mensik J. (WO.)
3	Fritz T. (3)	Walton A.	2 : 0
4	De Minaur A. (10)	Berrettini M. (29)	0 : 2
5	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	1 : 2
6	Musetti L. (15)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
7	Ruud C. (5)	Cerundolo F. (23)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fils A. (17)	Mensik J.	0 : 2
2	Fritz T. (3)	Berrettini M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Korda S. (24)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (23)	Dimitrov G. (14)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Mensik J.	Fritz T. (3)	2 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Dimitrov G. (14)	2 : 0

Final

1

Mensik J.

Djokovic N. (4)

2 : 0