Result
2:0
24/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (32/44) | 78% (29/37) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 50% (12/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 27% (12/44) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 38% (11/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 25% (1/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 61% (20/33) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (50/73) | 68% (40/59) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (19/59) | 32% (23/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (69/132) | 48% (63/132) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 9% (1/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
45.3% | Denis Shapovalov
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.01) |
|
1.74 ↓
(1.85) |
4.2%
(3.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 14 - 29.2%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 57.9% – 83.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Denis Shapovalov?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Denis Shapovalov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:
31.05.2023
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Denis Shapovalov
1:3
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. | Fearnley J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Mpetshi Perricard G. (28) | |
| 5 | Fils A. (17) | Bye | |
| 6 | Diallo G. (LL) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Struff J-L. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (16) | |
| 9 | Rune H. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Eubanks C. (WC) | Opelka R. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Arnaldi M. | Wu Y. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (20) | |
| 13 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Safiullin R. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Mensik J. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Draper J. (6) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Sonego L. | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Tirante T. A. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (27) | |
| 21 | Walton A. (LL) | Bye | |
| 22 | Martinez P. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Wong C. (WC) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Shelton B. (13) | |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bu Y. | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Fonseca J. | Tien L. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Humbert U. (19) | |
| 29 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Gaston H. (LL) | Nishioka Y. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Bergs Z. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Rublev A. (8) | |
| 33 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Rinderknech A. | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Lehecka J. (26) | |
| 37 | Korda S. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Spizzirri E. (WC) | Harris B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (9) | |
| 41 | Musetti L. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Seyboth Wild T. | Halys Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Schoolkate T. (Q) | Quinn E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | |
| 45 | Michelsen A. (32) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. (LL) | Holt B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Hijikata R. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | Ruud C. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Kovacevic A. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Blockx A. (Q) | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Tabilo A. (30) | |
| 53 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Bye | |
| 54 | Muller A. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Bublik A. | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Paul T. (12) | |
| 57 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Comesana F. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | McDonald M. (Q) | Kyrgios N. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Khachanov K. (22) | |
| 61 | Nakashima B. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | O'Connell C. (Q) | Carballes Baena R. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Vukic A. | Goffin D. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fils A. (17) | Diallo G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Tiafoe F. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (11) | Opelka R. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Machac T. (20) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Popyrin A. (25) | Safiullin R. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Mensik J. | Draper J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (3) | Sonego L. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Walton A. (LL) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Wong C. | Shelton B. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (10) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Fonseca J. | Humbert U. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Berrettini M. (29) | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bergs Z. | Rublev A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Monfils G. | Lehecka J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Korda S. (24) | Spizzirri E. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Tseng C. H. | Tsitsipas S. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Musetti L. (15) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Schoolkate T. | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Michelsen A. (32) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Hijikata R. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Ruud C. (5) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Moutet C. | Tabilo A. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bublik A. | Paul T. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Cina F. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Kyrgios N. | Khachanov K. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Nakashima B. (31) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Goffin D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Thompson J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fils A. (17) | Tiafoe F. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Opelka R. | Machac T. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Safiullin R. | Mensik J. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (3) | Shapovalov D. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Walton A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (10) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Munar J. | Monfils G. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Korda S. (24) | Tsitsipas S. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Musetti L. (15) | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Ruud C. (5) | Tabilo A. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Paul T. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Khachanov K. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Nakashima B. (31) | Goffin D. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fils A. (17) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Machac T. (20) | Mensik J. (WO.) | |
| 3 | Fritz T. (3) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (10) | Berrettini M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Monfils G. | Korda S. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Musetti L. (15) | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruud C. (5) | Cerundolo F. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Nakashima B. (31) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fils A. (17) | Mensik J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fritz T. (3) | Berrettini M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Korda S. (24) | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Dimitrov G. (14) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mensik J. | Fritz T. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Dimitrov G. (14) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Mensik J. | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
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