Result
0:2
09/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 90% (28/31) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 57% (13/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 33% (13/39) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 48% (13/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (2/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 75% (12/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (40/65) | 76% (41/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (13/54) | 38% (25/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (53/119) | 55% (66/119) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 100% (10/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 20% (2/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
52.4% | Jan-Lennard Struff
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jan-Lennard Struff's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan-Lennard Struff, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matteo Arnaldi - Jan-Lennard Struff Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.62) |
|
1.98 ↓
(2.3) |
6%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Jan-Lennard Struff?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Struff will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 40.7% – 76.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 40%). Struff (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 36. Struff is ranked ATP: 87.
- In recent matches, Arnaldi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Struff is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Struff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Arnaldi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Jan-Lennard Struff?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan-Lennard Struff won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Jan-Lennard Struff has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Jan-Lennard Struff were as follows:
07.10.2023
Jan-Lennard Struff
-
Matteo Arnaldi
1:2
04.11.2022
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Jan-Lennard Struff
1:2
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Fognini F. (WC) | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Nishioka Y. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fearnley J. | Nakashima B. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. (RET.) | Herbert P. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Arnaldi M. | Struff J-L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bonzi B. | Lehecka J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Michelsen A. (7) | Monfils G. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Engel J. (WC) | Duckworth J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Safiullin R. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | |
| 13 | Shapovalov D. (5) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Hanfmann Y. (Q) | Fucsovics M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Halys Q. | Sonego L. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Fritz T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tien L. | Nakashima B. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (3) | Herbert P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Struff J-L. | Lehecka J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Michelsen A. (7) | Engel J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rinderknech A. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Halys Q. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Nakashima B. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (3) | Lehecka J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Engel J. | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Shelton B. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
