Result
2:0
08/08/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (38/47) | 62% (32/52) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 45% (13/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 21% (10/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 68% (15/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 71% (17/24) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (44/68) | 57% (45/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (34/79) | 35% (24/68) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (78/147) | 47% (69/147) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 42% (10/24) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
40.9% | Karen Khachanov
59.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Karen Khachanov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.08) |
|
1.61 ↓
(1.68) |
4.7%
(7.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Karen Khachanov?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Khachanov will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 46. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 22.
- Recent matches Arnaldi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Khachanov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Khachanov will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Karen Khachanov?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karen Khachanov won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Karen Khachanov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Karen Khachanov were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Karen Khachanov
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Coric B. (Q) | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sonego L. | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. | Tabilo A. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Paul T. (10) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shapovalov D. (WC) | Nakashima B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Etcheverry T. M. | Jarry N. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Rublev A. (5) | |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Safiullin R. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | McDonald M. (Q) | Arnaldi M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Diallo G. (WC) | Khachanov K. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Humbert U. (12) | Fils A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Borges N. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Michelsen A. | Nishikori K. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (8) | |
| 17 | Dimitrov G. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Hijikata R. (Q) | Daniel T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Popyrin A. | Machac T. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bublik A. | Shelton B. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Auger-Aliassime F. (14) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Mannarino A. | Rinderknech A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Kokkinakis T. (Q) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (4) | |
| 25 | Ruud C. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Duckworth J. (LL) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Korda S. | Pospisil V. (RET.) (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 28 | Navone M. | Fritz T. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Rune H. (13) | Bautista-Agut R. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Marozsan F. | Carreno-Busta P. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Thompson J. | Draper J. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Coric B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Tabilo A. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Paul T. (10) | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Etcheverry T. M. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (3) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Khachanov K. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Humbert U. (12) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Nishikori K. | Tsitsipas S. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Dimitrov G. (7) | Hijikata R. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Popyrin A. | Shelton B. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. | Rinderknech A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kokkinakis T. | Hurkacz H. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ruud C. (6) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Rune H. (13) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Tabilo A. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) | Arnaldi M. | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Dimitrov G. (7) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Rinderknech A. | Hurkacz H. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruud C. (6) | Korda S. (WO.) | |
| 8 | Rune H. (13) | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Rublev A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Arnaldi M. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Popyrin A. | Hurkacz H. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Popyrin A. | 0 : 2 |
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