Result
2:0
10/08/2024 at 22:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Nour A. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 3 |
 Peru | Movistar Deportes |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Spain | Movistar Deportes |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 48% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (26/35) | 58% (30/52) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 54% (13/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 26% (9/35) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 55% (21/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 33% (2/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 73% (22/30) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (43/73) | 57% (43/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (33/76) | 41% (30/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (76/149) | 49% (73/149) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 18% (2/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 41% (9/22) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
61.2% | Kei Nishikori
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.65) |
|
2.47 ↑
(2.25) |
4.9%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori?
Users Predictions:
Matteo Arnaldi will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 46. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 576.
- One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
- Nishikori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Kei Nishikori?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kei Nishikori won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Kei Nishikori has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Kei Nishikori
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Coric B. (Q) | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sonego L. | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. | Tabilo A. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Paul T. (10) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shapovalov D. (WC) | Nakashima B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Etcheverry T. M. | Jarry N. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Rublev A. (5) | |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Safiullin R. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | McDonald M. (Q) | Arnaldi M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Diallo G. (WC) | Khachanov K. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Humbert U. (12) | Fils A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Borges N. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Michelsen A. | Nishikori K. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (8) | |
| 17 | Dimitrov G. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Hijikata R. (Q) | Daniel T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Popyrin A. | Machac T. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bublik A. | Shelton B. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Auger-Aliassime F. (14) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Mannarino A. | Rinderknech A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Kokkinakis T. (Q) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (4) | |
| 25 | Ruud C. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Duckworth J. (LL) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Korda S. | Pospisil V. (RET.) (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 28 | Navone M. | Fritz T. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Rune H. (13) | Bautista-Agut R. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Marozsan F. | Carreno-Busta P. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Thompson J. | Draper J. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Coric B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Tabilo A. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Paul T. (10) | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Etcheverry T. M. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (3) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Khachanov K. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Humbert U. (12) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Nishikori K. | Tsitsipas S. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Dimitrov G. (7) | Hijikata R. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Popyrin A. | Shelton B. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. | Rinderknech A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kokkinakis T. | Hurkacz H. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ruud C. (6) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Rune H. (13) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Tabilo A. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) | Arnaldi M. | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Dimitrov G. (7) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Rinderknech A. | Hurkacz H. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruud C. (6) | Korda S. (WO.) | |
| 8 | Rune H. (13) | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Rublev A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Arnaldi M. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Popyrin A. | Hurkacz H. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Popyrin A. | 0 : 2 |
