Result
2:0
23/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (30/38) | 61% (31/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 54% (14/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 21% (8/38) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 47% (15/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 50% (2/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 50% (13/26) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (47/70) | 58% (45/77) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 33% (23/70) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (79/147) | 46% (68/147) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 42% (10/24) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
46.2% | Lorenzo Sonego
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.9) |
|
1.77 ↓
(1.9) |
5.2%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego?
Users Predictions:
Matteo Arnaldi will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Matteo Arnaldi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 44. Sonego is ranked ATP: 37.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Arnaldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Lorenzo Sonego?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Sonego won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Lorenzo Sonego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Vukic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Arnaldi M. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Sonego L. (16) | |
| 5 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Bye | |
| 6 | Munar J. | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Tien L. | Nava E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Rublev A. (5) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | McDonald M. (WC) | Smith C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Diallo G. (15) | |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (9) | Bye | |
| 14 | Nishioka Y. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Halys Q. | Kovacevic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (6) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (8) | Bye | |
| 18 | Opelka R. | Cassone M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Monfils G. | Wu Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Popyrin A. (10) | |
| 21 | Michelsen A. (13) | Bye | |
| 22 | Evans D. (WC) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Zhukayev B. (Q) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Moutet C. (LL) | |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Goffin D. | Bu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Svajda Z. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (11) | |
| 29 | Nakashima B. (14) | Bye | |
| 30 | Quinn E. (WC) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Norrie C. | Harris B. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Arnaldi M. | Sonego L. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tien L. | Rublev A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (4) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Diallo G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (9) | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kovacevic A. | Tiafoe F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (8) | Opelka R. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Wu Y. | Popyrin A. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. (13) | Evans D. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Muller A. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (7) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Svajda Z. | Lehecka J. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. (14) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Norrie C. | Musetti L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (4) | Diallo G. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cobolli F. (9) | Tiafoe F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (8) | Wu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Evans D. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (7) | Lehecka J. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. (14) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (4) | Tiafoe F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (8) | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (7) | Nakashima B. (14) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Shelton B. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moutet C. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | De Minaur A. (7) | 1 : 2 |
