Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals
Referee: Andrei R. (Rou)
Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3

Match Stats


Aces
3	5
Double Faults
5	2
1st Serve Percentage
53%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (28/40)	80% (35/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (15/36)	55% (16/29)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)	80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
20% (9/44)	30% (12/40)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (13/29)	58% (21/36)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)	30% (3/10)
Winners
10	22
Unforced Errors
15	17
Net Points Won
75% (9/12)	82% (31/38)
Max Points In Row
5	9
Service Points Won
57% (43/75)	69% (50/72)
Return Points Won
31% (22/72)	43% (32/75)
Total Points Won
44% (65/147)	56% (82/147)
Max Games In Row
2	5
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)	90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)	30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)	60% (12/20)

Chances of winning

Matteo Arnaldi
55.2%

Nicolas Jarry
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)		2.14 ↑ (2.02)	4.5% (6.4%)

What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Jarry will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 41.6% – 98.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Jarry is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Nicolas Jarry?

Matteo Arnaldi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Jarry won against Matteo Arnaldi?

Nicolas Jarry has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:

09.01.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry 1:2

30.09.2023 Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry 1:2

Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi

09.05.2024 Harold Mayot - Matteo Arnaldi 1:2 ✺

09.05.2024 Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi Canceled ✺

27.04.2024 Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi 2:1 ✺

25.04.2024 Christopher OConnell - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

19.04.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Nicolas Jarry

27.04.2024 Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli 1:2 ✺

17.04.2024 Marco Trungelliti - Nicolas Jarry 2:0 ✺

09.04.2024 Nicolas Jarry - Tomas Martin Etcheverry 0:2 ✺

27.03.2024 Nicolas Jarry - Daniil Medvedev 0:2 ✺

26.03.2024 Casper Ruud - Nicolas Jarry 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M.	Cina F. (WC)	2 : 0
3	De Jong J. (LL)	Shevchenko A. (Q)	2 : 0
4	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (25)
5	Cerundolo F. (17)	Bye
6	Gaston H.	Jarry N.	0 : 2
7	Carballes Baena R. (RET.)	Ofner S. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (15)
9	Shelton B. (12)	Bye
10	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	Munar J.	1 : 2
11	Vukic A.	Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)	2 : 0
12	Bye	Korda S. (22)
13	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
14	Fearnley J.	Fognini F. (WC)	2 : 0
15	Bublik A.	Safiullin R.	2 : 0
16	Bye	Ruud C. (6)
17	Fritz T. (4)	Bye
18	Diallo G.	Giron M.	1 : 2
19	Bellucci M.	Martinez P.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Hurkacz H. (30)
21	Mensik J. (20)	Bye
22	Rinderknech A.	Gigante M. (WC)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Rublev A. (16)
25	Paul T. (11)	Bye
26	Arnaldi M.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
27	Tien L.	Opelka R. (PR)	2 : 0
28	Bye	Machac T. (19)
29	Dellien H. (LL)	Bye
30	Borges N.	Seyboth Wild T. (Q)	1 : 2
31	Nardi L. (WC)	Cobolli F.	2 : 0
32	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
33	Draper J. (5)	Bye
34	Bu Y.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
35	Kopriva V. (Q)	Halys Q.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Baez S. (32)
37	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
38	Hijikata R.	Moutet C.	1 : 2
39	Altmaier D.	Comesana F.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Rune H. (9)
41	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
42	Passaro F. (WC)	Tseng C. H. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Sonego L.	Burruchaga R. A. (Q)	0 : 2
44	Bye	Khachanov K. (23)
45	Michelsen A. (31)	Bye
46	Djere L.	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
47	Nishioka Y.	Lajovic D. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Alcaraz C. (3)
49	Musetti L. (8)	Bye
50	Medjedovic H.	Virtanen O. (Q)	0 : 2
51	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Nakashima B. (28)
53	Popyrin A. (24)	Bye
54	Taberner C. (Q)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
55	O'Connell C.	Norrie C. (LL)	0 : 2
56	Bye	Medvedev D. (10)
57	Fils A. (13)	Bye
58	Griekspoor T.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
59	Lehecka J.	Muller A.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (18)
61	Shapovalov D. (27)	Bye
62	Gaubas V. (Q)	Dzumhur D.	2 : 1
63	Ugo Carabelli C.	Carreno-Busta P. (LL)	2 : 1
64	Bye	Zverev A. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Navone M.	2 : 0
2	De Jong J.	Davidovich Fokina A. (25)	2 : 0
3	Cerundolo F. (17)	Jarry N.	2 : 0
4	Ofner S.	Tiafoe F. (15)	2 : 1
5	Shelton B. (12)	Munar J.	0 : 2
6	Vukic A.	Korda S. (22)	0 : 2
7	Berrettini M. (29)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
8	Bublik A.	Ruud C. (6)	1 : 2
9	Fritz T. (4)	Giron M.	0 : 2
10	Martinez P.	Hurkacz H. (30)	0 : 2
11	Mensik J. (20)	Gigante M.	2 : 0
12	Marozsan F.	Rublev A. (16)	2 : 1
13	Paul T. (11)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
14	Tien L.	Machac T. (19)	0 : 2
15	Dellien H.	Seyboth Wild T.	2 : 1
16	Nardi L.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
17	Draper J. (5)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
18	Kopriva V.	Baez S. (32)	2 : 1
19	Humbert U. (RET.) (21)	Moutet C.	0 : 1
20	Comesana F.	Rune H. (9)	1 : 2
21	Dimitrov G. (14)	Passaro F.	0 : 2
22	Burruchaga R. A.	Khachanov K. (23)	1 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (31)	Djere L.	0 : 2
24	Lajovic D.	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 2
25	Musetti L. (8)	Virtanen O.	2 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
27	Popyrin A. (24)	Taberner C.	2 : 0
28	Norrie C.	Medvedev D. (10)	0 : 2
29	Fils A. (13)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 0
30	Muller A.	Tsitsipas S. (18)	0 : 2
31	Shapovalov D. (27)	Gaubas V.	0 : 2
32	Ugo Carabelli C.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo F. (17)	Ofner S.	2 : 0
3	Munar J.	Korda S. (22)	2 : 0
4	Berrettini M. (RET.) (29)	Ruud C. (6)	0 : 1
5	Giron M.	Hurkacz H. (30)	1 : 2
6	Mensik J. (20)	Marozsan F.	2 : 0
7	Paul T. (11)	Machac T. (19)	2 : 1
8	Dellien H.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
10	Moutet C.	Rune H. (9)	2 : 1
11	Passaro F.	Khachanov K. (23)	0 : 2
12	Djere L.	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 2
13	Musetti L. (8)	Nakashima B. (28)	2 : 0
14	Popyrin A. (24)	Medvedev D. (10)	0 : 2
15	Fils A. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (18)	2 : 1
16	Gaubas V.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Cerundolo F. (17)	2 : 0
2	Munar J.	Ruud C. (6)	0 : 2
3	Hurkacz H. (30)	Mensik J. (20)	2 : 1
4	Paul T. (11)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
5	Draper J. (5)	Moutet C.	2 : 1
6	Khachanov K. (23)	Alcaraz C. (3)	1 : 2
7	Musetti L. (8)	Medvedev D. (10)	2 : 0
8	Fils A. (13)	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Ruud C. (6)	2 : 0
2	Hurkacz H. (30)	Paul T. (11)	0 : 2
3	Draper J. (5)	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 2
4	Musetti L. (8)	Zverev A. (2)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Paul T. (11)	2 : 1
2	Alcaraz C. (3)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (3)

0 : 2