Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Barcelona Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Result
2:0
15/04/2023 at 09:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
65.5%
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.
  • Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Moreno De Alboran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.68)

    2.72
    (2.07)
    6.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Moreno De Alboran is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2