Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/04/2023 at 09:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
65.5%
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.
  • Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Moreno De Alboran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.68)

    2.72
    (2.07)
    6.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Moreno De Alboran is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2