Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 11:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
54.1%
Quentin Halys
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quentin Halys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.84)

    2.05
    (1.86)
    6.6%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Halys will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Arnaldi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 107. Halys is ranked ATP: 89.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Halys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Quentin Halys
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Quinn E. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 1
    2Maestrelli F.Merida Aguilar D. (11)0 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M. (2)Zeppieri G.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Bonzi B. (12)2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)2 : 1
    6Martinez P.Carreno-Busta P. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    7Ofner S. (4)Sanchez Quilez A. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gea A. (Alt)Kypson P. (10)0 : 2
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    10Arnaldi M.Halys Q. (8)1 : 2
    11Vukic A. (6)Virtanen O.1 : 2
    12Alcala Gurri M. (WC)Muller A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Quinn E. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (11)2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M. (2)De Jong J.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (3)Martinez P.1 : 2
    4Ofner S. (4)Kypson P. (10)2 : 0
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Halys Q. (8)2 : 1
    6Virtanen O.Muller A. (7)2 : 0