Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 11:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
54.1%
Quentin Halys
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quentin Halys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.84)

    2.05
    (1.86)
    6.6%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Halys will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Arnaldi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 107. Halys is ranked ATP: 89.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Halys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Quentin Halys
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2