Result
1:2
14/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 70% (38/54) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 65% (15/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (16/54) | 37% (17/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 43% (12/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 67% (4/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 79% (11/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (45/74) | 68% (51/75) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (24/75) | 39% (29/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (69/149) | 54% (80/149) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 58% (15/26) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
52.3% | Sebastian Korda
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.91) |
|
1.98 ↑
(1.91) |
5.9%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Korda will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Korda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 40. Korda is ranked ATP: 24.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Sebastian Korda?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Korda won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Sebastian Korda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Sebastian Korda
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Quinn E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Djere L. (Q) | Rinderknech A. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. | Fearnley J. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Etcheverry T. M. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tsitsipas S. (3) | Opelka R. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Martinez P. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fils A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tiafoe F. (9) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Khachanov K. | Norrie C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | De Jong J. (Q) | Rublev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rune H. (6) | Ramos A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Baez S. | Dzumhur D. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Medjedovic H. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Galan D. E. (Q) | Ruud C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Djere L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fearnley J. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tsitsipas S. (3) | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Martinez P. | Fils A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Munar J. | Khachanov K. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Rublev A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rune H. (6) | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | Ruud C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3) | Fils A. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rune H. (6) | Ruud C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fils A. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Khachanov K. | Rune H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Rune H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
