Matteo Arnaldi vs Sumit Nagal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Matteo Arnaldi - Sumit Nagal
Result
1:2
08/04/2024 at 06:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Franke A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1, Max Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFranceEurosport 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
61
1st Serve Percentage
55%64%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (36/53)55% (35/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (19/44)72% (26/36)
Break Points Saved
33% (3/9)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
45% (29/64)32% (17/53)
2nd Return Points Won
28% (10/36)57% (25/44)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)67% (6/9)
Winners
4017
Unforced Errors
2710
Net Points Won
67% (14/21)55% (12/22)
Max Points In Row
87
Service Points Won
57% (55/97)61% (61/100)
Return Points Won
39% (39/100)43% (42/97)
Total Points Won
48% (94/197)52% (103/197)
Max Games In Row
34
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
43% (13/30)57% (17/30)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
68.3%
Sumit Nagal
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Sumit Nagal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.4)

    3.01
    (2.63)
    4.7%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Sumit Nagal?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagal will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 29.2%76.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Sumit Nagal
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2