Matteo Arnaldi vs Zachary Svajda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Shanghai Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda
Result
2:1
04/10/2024 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
113
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
56%64%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (45/55)66% (50/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (23/44)48% (20/42)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
34% (26/76)31% (17/55)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (22/42)48% (21/44)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)20% (1/5)
Winners
4829
Unforced Errors
4741
Net Points Won
59% (20/34)67% (8/12)
Max Points In Row
76
Service Points Won
69% (68/99)60% (70/117)
Return Points Won
40% (47/117)31% (31/99)
Total Points Won
53% (115/216)47% (101/216)
Max Games In Row
42
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
64.6%
Zachary Svajda
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.
  • Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.33)

    2.69
    (3.16)
    4.7%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Svajda will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 33. Svajda is ranked ATP: 131.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda were as follows:
    27.08.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda 3:0
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Zachary Svajda
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A. (1)Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    2Sun F. (WC)Mayot H. (22)0 : 2
    3Royer V. (2)Droguet T.2 : 0
    4Daniel T.Harris B. (18)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D. (3)Zeppieri G.2 : 0
    6Liu H. (WC)Watanuki Y. (20)0 : 2
    7Vukic A. (4)Huesler M. (Alt)2 : 1
    8Nishioka Y.Noguchi R. (Alt)2 : 0
    9McDonald M. (5)Jasika O.2 : 0
    10Sakamoto R.Holt B. (13)2 : 0
    11Misolic F. (6)Eubanks C.1 : 2
    12Te R. (WC)Blanchet U. (21)0 : 2
    13Schoolkate T. (7)McCabe J.2 : 1
    14Zhukayev B.Smith C. (19)2 : 0
    15Basilashvili N. (8)Tomic B.2 : 1
    16Xiao L. (WC)Spizzirri E. (17)0 : 2
    17Mochizuki S. (9)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    18Kubler J.Wong C. (24)2 : 0
    19Basavareddy N. (10)Vacherot V.1 : 2
    20Jacquet K.Draxl L. (14)1 : 2
    21Duckworth J. (11)Onclin G. (Alt)0 : 2
    22Holmgren A.Tseng C. H. (16)2 : 1
    23Hijikata R. (12)Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    24Trotter J. K.Boyer T. (15)2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A. (1)Mayot H. (22)2 : 0
    2Royer V. (2)Harris B. (18)2 : 0
    3Svrcina D. (3)Watanuki Y. (20)2 : 0
    4Vukic A. (4)Nishioka Y.0 : 2
    5McDonald M. (5)Sakamoto R.0 : 2
    6Eubanks C.Blanchet U. (21)0 : 2
    7Schoolkate T. (7)Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    8Basilashvili N. (8)Spizzirri E. (17)2 : 0
    9Hanfmann Y.Kubler J.2 : 0
    10Vacherot V.Draxl L. (14)2 : 1
    11Onclin G.Holmgren A.0 : 2
    12Hijikata R. (12)Trotter J. K.1 : 2