Matteo Arnaldi vs Zachary Svajda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2024 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
11	3
Double Faults
3	4
1st Serve Percentage
56%	64%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (45/55)	66% (50/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (23/44)	48% (20/42)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)	69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
34% (26/76)	31% (17/55)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (22/42)	48% (21/44)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)	20% (1/5)
Winners
48	29
Unforced Errors
47	41
Net Points Won
59% (20/34)	67% (8/12)
Max Points In Row
7	6
Service Points Won
69% (68/99)	60% (70/117)
Return Points Won
40% (47/117)	31% (31/99)
Total Points Won
53% (115/216)	47% (101/216)
Max Games In Row
4	2
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)	73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)	7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)	40% (12/30)

Chances of winning

Matteo Arnaldi
64.6%

Zachary Svajda
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.33)		2.69 ↓ (3.16)	4.7% (6.8%)

What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Svajda will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 33. Svajda is ranked ATP: 131.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Zachary Svajda?

Matteo Arnaldi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zachary Svajda won against Matteo Arnaldi?

Zachary Svajda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda were as follows:

27.08.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda 3:0

Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi

25.09.2024 Tommy Paul - Matteo Arnaldi 2:0 ✺

11.09.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Thiago Monteiro 2:1 ✺

31.08.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Jordan Thompson 0:3 ✺

29.08.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Roman Safiullin 3:0 ✺

27.08.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Zachary Svajda

02.10.2024 Adrian Mannarino - Zachary Svajda 1:2 ✺

01.10.2024 Yan Bai - Zachary Svajda 0:2 ✺

30.09.2024 Tung-Lin Wu - Zachary Svajda 0:2 ✺

18.09.2024 Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda 2:1 ✺

27.08.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda 3:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Gerasimov E. (Q)	Daniel T.	1 : 2
3	Carreno-Busta P. (PR)	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (31)
5	Fils A. (21)	Bye
6	Bautista-Agut R.	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
7	Sonego L.	Shapovalov D. (Q)	0 : 2
8	Bye	Shelton B. (14)
9	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Bye
10	Nishikori K. (WC)	Navone M.	2 : 1
11	Nardi L.	Muller A.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
13	Arnaldi M. (29)	Bye
14	Mannarino A.	Svajda Z. (Q)	1 : 2
15	Seyboth Wild T.	Evans D. (Q)	2 : 1
16	Bye	Medvedev D. (5)
17	Alcaraz C. (3)	Bye
18	Shang J.	Wong C. (WC)	2 : 0
19	Wu Y. (WC)	Nagal S.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Jarry N. (25)
21	Baez S. (22)	Bye
22	Monfils G.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
23	Cilic M. (PR)	Cazaux A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Humbert U. (16)
25	Paul T. (11)	Bye
26	Fognini F.	Darderi L.	2 : 1
27	Opelka R. (PR)	Rinderknech A.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Tabilo A. (19)
29	Machac T. (30)	Bye
30	Davidovich Fokina A.	Diallo G. (Q)	2 : 0
31	Vukic A. (Q)	Moutet C.	2 : 1
32	Bye	Ruud C. (8)
33	Rublev A. (6)	Bye
34	Mensik J.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
35	Ramanathan R. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Cerundolo F. (27)
37	Popyrin A. (20)	Bye
38	Kecmanovic M.	Hijikata R.	2 : 0
39	Zhang Z.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Dimitrov G. (9)
41	Tiafoe F. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	Zhou Y. (WC)	0 : 0
43	Zhukayev B. (Q)	Safiullin R.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Bublik A. (23)
45	Cobolli F. (28)	Bye
46	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
47	Michelsen A.	Bu Y. (SE)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (7)	Bye
50	Kovacevic A.	Atmane T. (Q)	0 : 2
51	Kotov P.	Watanuki Y. (Q)	1 : 2
52	Bye	Nakashima B. (32)
53	Lehecka J. (33)	Bye
54	Munar J.	Gaston H.	2 : 0
55	O'Connell C.	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (12)
57	Musetti L. (15)	Bye
58	Goffin D.	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
59	Tu L. (Q)	Giron M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Khachanov K. (24)
61	Thompson J. (26)	Bye
62	Griekspoor T.	Diaz Acosta F.	2 : 1
63	Bellucci M. (Q)	Harris B. (LL)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Zverev A. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Daniel T.	2 : 0
2	Van De Zandschulp B.	Etcheverry T. M. (31)	1 : 2
3	Fils A. (21)	Carballes Baena R.	0 : 2
4	Shapovalov D.	Shelton B. (14)	0 : 2
5	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Nishikori K.	2 : 0
6	Muller A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 0
7	Arnaldi M. (29)	Svajda Z.	2 : 1
8	Seyboth Wild T.	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
9	Alcaraz C. (3)	Shang J.	2 : 0
10	Wu Y.	Jarry N. (25)	2 : 0
11	Baez S. (22)	Monfils G.	1 : 2
12	Cazaux A.	Humbert U. (16)	0 : 2
13	Paul T. (11)	Fognini F.	2 : 0
14	Rinderknech A.	Tabilo A. (19)	0 : 2
15	Machac T. (30)	Davidovich Fokina A.	2 : 1
16	Vukic A.	Ruud C. (8)	2 : 0
17	Rublev A. (6)	Mensik J.	1 : 2
18	Shevchenko A.	Cerundolo F. (27)	2 : 0
19	Popyrin A. (20)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Dimitrov G. (9)	1 : 2
21	Tiafoe F. (13)	Zhou Y.	2 : 0
22	Safiullin R.	Bublik A. (23)	2 : 0
23	Cobolli F. (28)	Wawrinka S.	2 : 1
24	Michelsen A.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (7)	Atmane T.	2 : 0
26	Watanuki Y.	Nakashima B. (32)	2 : 0
27	Lehecka J. (33)	Munar J.	2 : 0
28	Berrettini M.	Rune H. (12)	1 : 2
29	Musetti L. (15)	Goffin D.	1 : 2
30	Giron M.	Khachanov K. (24)	2 : 0
31	Thompson J. (26)	Griekspoor T.	0 : 2
32	Bellucci M.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Etcheverry T. M. (31)	2 : 1
2	Carballes Baena R.	Shelton B. (14)	0 : 2
3	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Muller A.	2 : 0
4	Arnaldi M. (29)	Medvedev D. (5)	1 : 2
5	Alcaraz C. (3)	Wu Y.	2 : 0
6	Monfils G.	Humbert U. (16)	2 : 1
7	Paul T. (11)	Tabilo A. (19)	2 : 1
8	Machac T. (30)	Vukic A.	2 : 0
9	Mensik J.	Shevchenko A.	2 : 1
10	Popyrin A. (20)	Dimitrov G. (9)	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (13)	Safiullin R.	1 : 2
12	Cobolli F. (28)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
13	Fritz T. (7)	Watanuki Y.	2 : 0
14	Lehecka J. (33)	Rune H. (12)	0 : 2
15	Goffin D.	Giron M.	2 : 1
16	Griekspoor T.	Zverev A. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shelton B. (14)	2 : 0
2	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
3	Alcaraz C. (3)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
4	Paul T. (11)	Machac T. (30)	1 : 2
5	Mensik J.	Dimitrov G. (9)	2 : 1
6	Safiullin R.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
7	Fritz T. (7)	Rune H. (12)	2 : 0
8	Goffin D.	Zverev A. (2)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Medvedev D. (5)	2 : 0
2	Alcaraz C. (3)	Machac T. (30)	0 : 2
3	Mensik J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
4	Fritz T. (7)	Goffin D.	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Machac T. (30)	2 : 0
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Djokovic N. (4)

2 : 0