Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 74% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 86% (37/43) | 75% (27/36) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 54% (15/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 33% (1/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 16% (7/43) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 47% (7/15) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (44/57) | 66% (42/64) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (22/64) | 23% (13/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (66/121) | 45% (55/121) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Casper Ruud
57.1% | Matteo Berrettini
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.61) |
|
2.21 ↑
(2.2) |
5.5%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Berrettini will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 38.6% – 79.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ruud (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Berrettini (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ruud is ranked ATP: 12. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 56.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 2.
- Ruud has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ruud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Casper Ruud won against Matteo Berrettini?
Casper Ruud has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Berrettini won against Casper Ruud?
Matteo Berrettini has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:
12.05.2025
Matteo Berrettini
-
Casper Ruud
Berrettini M. retired
02.01.2023
Matteo Berrettini
-
Casper Ruud
2:0
06.09.2022
Matteo Berrettini
-
Casper Ruud
0:3
Latest results of Casper Ruud
Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bergs Z. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Mochizuki S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Vukic A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Shapovalov D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (6) | Brooksby J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nishioka Y. (WC) | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Medjedovic H. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Machac T. (5) | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Giron M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Watanuki Y. (WC) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Brooksby J. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Rune H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (4) | |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Fritz T. (2) | |
Final
