Matteo Berrettini vs Dusan Lajovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/02/2026 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
76
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
72%72%
1st serve points won
79% (44/56)64% (41/64)
2nd serve points won
41% (9/22)52% (13/25)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)50% (4/8)
1st return points won
36% (23/64)21% (12/56)
2nd return points won
48% (12/25)59% (13/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)33% (2/6)
Winners
2832
Unforced errors
2727
Net points won
71% (12/17)39% (7/18)
Service Points Won
68% (53/78)61% (54/89)
Return Points Won
39% (35/89)32% (25/78)
Total Points Won
53% (88/167)47% (79/167)
Last 10 balls
100
Match points saved
00
Service games won
85% (11/13)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)15% (2/13)
Total games won
56% (15/27)44% (12/27)

Chances of winning


Matteo Berrettini
70.6%
Dusan Lajovic
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.
  • Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusan Lajovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-23%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+23%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusan Lajovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.84)

    3.21
    (1.85)
    5.1%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lajovic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Berrettini is ranked ATP: 57. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 129.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel G. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2