Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Berrettini M. Retired
03/06/2026 at 14:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
64%66%
1st serve points won
59% (33/56)65% (24/37)
2nd serve points won
35% (11/31)58% (11/19)
Break Points Saved
10/150/3
1st return points won
35% (13/37)41% (23/56)
2nd return points won
42% (8/19)65% (20/31)
Break Points Converted
3/35/15
Winners
2616
Unforced errors
3716
Net points won
65% (15/23)59% (10/17)
Service Points Won
51% (44/87)63% (35/56)
Return Points Won
38% (21/56)49% (43/87)
Total Points Won
45% (65/143)55% (78/143)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
44% (4/9)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)56% (5/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Matteo Berrettini
62.6%
Matteo Arnaldi
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.58)

    2.56
    (2.44)
    3.7%
    (4.4%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -2.5 Games - Berrettini (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -4.5 Games - Arnaldi (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (39 of 46 users predict this - 84.78%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.4%95.16%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Arnaldi (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Berrettini is ranked ATP: 105. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 104.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Berrettini might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Tabur C. (WC)3 : 0
    2Fearnley J.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 3
    3Landaluce M.Prado Angelo J. C. (Q)3 : 2
    4Kopriva V.Moutet C. (30)3 : 2
    5Rinderknech A. (22)Rodionov J. (Q)3 : 0
    6Fucsovics M.Berrettini M.1 : 3
    7Quinn E.Comesana F.0 : 3
    8Ofner S.Darderi L. (14)0 : 3
    9Bublik A. (9)Struff J-L.1 : 3
    10Faria J. (Q)Shapovalov D.3 : 0
    11Munar J.Hurkacz H.1 : 3
    12Spizzirri E.Tiafoe F. (19)1 : 3
    13Griekspoor T. (29)Arnaldi M.1 : 3
    14Muller A. (RET.)Tsitsipas S.0 : 1
    15Collignon R.Vukic A.3 : 0
    16Merida Aguilar D.Shelton B. (5)0 : 3
    17Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Altmaier D.3 : 2
    18Baez S. (RET.)Burruchaga R. A.1 : 2
    19van Assche L.Gaubas V. (LL)3 : 1
    20Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B. (31)0 : 3
    21Norrie C. (RET.) (20)Vallejo D.0 : 1
    22Cilic M.Kouame M. (WC)0 : 3
    23Tabilo A.Majchrzak K.3 : 0
    24Faurel T. (Q)Vacherot V. (16)1 : 3
    25Cobolli F. (10)Pellegrino A. (Q)3 : 0
    26Wu Y.Giron M.3 : 0
    27Diaz Acosta F. (Q)Zhang Z.3 : 0
    28Garin C.Tien L. (18)1 : 3
    29Cerundolo F. (25)Van De Zandschulp B.3 : 1
    30Gaston H. (WC)Monfils G. (WC)3 : 2
    31Popyrin A.Svajda Z.1 : 3
    32Walton A. (WC)Medvedev D. (6)3 : 2
    33De Minaur A. (8)Samuel T. (Q)3 : 0
    34Blockx A.Wong C. (LL)3 : 0
    35Navone M.Brooksby J.3 : 0
    36Droguet T. (WC)Mensik J. (26)0 : 3
    37Etcheverry T. M. (23)Borges N.0 : 3
    38Kecmanovic M.Marozsan F.3 : 0
    39Nava E. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 3
    40Buse I.Rublev A. (11)1 : 3
    41Ruud C. (15)Safiullin R. (Q)3 : 2
    42Medjedovic H.Hanfmann Y.3 : 1
    43Sonego L.Herbert P. (Q)3 : 2
    44Hijikata R.Paul T. (24)1 : 3
    45Fonseca J. (28)Pavlovic L. (Q)3 : 0
    46Zheng M. (Q)Prizmic D.0 : 3
    47Dellien H. (Q)Royer V.0 : 3
    48Mpetshi Perricard G.Djokovic N. (3)1 : 3
    49Fritz T. (7)Basavareddy N. (WC)1 : 3
    50Shevchenko A.Michelsen A.0 : 3
    51Duckworth J.Diallo G. (RET.)1 : 0
    52Kovacevic A.Jodar R. (27)0 : 3
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (21)Dzumhur D.3 : 2
    54Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Tirante T. A.1 : 3
    55Kokkinakis T.Atmane T.3 : 2
    56Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (12)3 : 0
    57Khachanov K. (13)Gea A. (WC)3 : 0
    58Jacquet K. (Q)Trungelliti M.0 : 3
    59Cina F. (Q)Opelka R.3 : 2
    60Wawrinka S.De Jong J. (LL)1 : 3
    61Humbert U. (32)Mannarino A.3 : 0
    62Halys Q.Bellucci M.3 : 0
    63Machac T.Bergs Z.3 : 0
    64Bonzi B.Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 3
    2Landaluce M.Kopriva V.3 : 2
    3Rinderknech A. (22)Berrettini M.0 : 3
    4Comesana F.Darderi L. (14)3 : 2
    5Struff J-L.Faria J.0 : 3
    6Hurkacz H.Tiafoe F. (19)2 : 3
    7Arnaldi M.Tsitsipas S.3 : 1
    8Collignon R.Shelton B. (5)3 : 0
    9Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Burruchaga R. A.3 : 1
    10van Assche L.Nakashima B. (31)2 : 3
    11Vallejo D.Kouame M.2 : 3
    12Tabilo A. (WO.)Vacherot V. (16)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Wu Y.3 : 0
    14Diaz Acosta F.Tien L. (18)2 : 3
    15Cerundolo F. (25)Gaston H.3 : 1
    16Svajda Z.Walton A.3 : 1
    17De Minaur A. (WO.) (8)Blockx A.
    18Navone M.Mensik J. (26)2 : 3
    19Borges N.Kecmanovic M.3 : 1
    20Ugo Carabelli C.Rublev A. (11)1 : 3
    21Ruud C. (15)Medjedovic H.3 : 0
    22Sonego L.Paul T. (24)0 : 3
    23Fonseca J. (28)Prizmic D.3 : 2
    24Royer V.Djokovic N. (3)1 : 3
    25Basavareddy N.Michelsen A.1 : 3
    26Duckworth J.Jodar R. (27)1 : 3
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (21)Tirante T. A.1 : 3
    28Kokkinakis T. (RET.)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 1
    29Khachanov K. (13)Trungelliti M.3 : 1
    30Cina F.De Jong J.0 : 3
    31Humbert U. (32)Halys Q.0 : 3
    32Machac T.Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M.Landaluce M.3 : 2
    2Berrettini M.Comesana F.3 : 2
    3Faria J.Tiafoe F. (19)2 : 3
    4Arnaldi M.Collignon R.3 : 2
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Nakashima B. (31)3 : 1
    6Kouame M.Tabilo A.1 : 3
    7Cobolli F. (10)Tien L. (18)3 : 0
    8Cerundolo F. (25)Svajda Z.2 : 3
    9De Minaur A. (8)Mensik J. (26)1 : 3
    10Borges N.Rublev A. (11)0 : 3
    11Ruud C. (15)Paul T. (24)3 : 2
    12Fonseca J. (28)Djokovic N. (3)3 : 2
    13Michelsen A.Jodar R. (27)2 : 3
    14Tirante T. A.Carreno-Busta P.1 : 3
    15Khachanov K. (13)De Jong J.2 : 3
    16Halys Q.Zverev A. (2)1 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M.Berrettini M.0 : 3
    2Tiafoe F. (19)Arnaldi M.2 : 3
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Tabilo A.3 : 0
    4Cobolli F. (10)Svajda Z.3 : 1
    5Mensik J. (26)Rublev A. (11)3 : 2
    6Ruud C. (15)Fonseca J. (28)1 : 3
    7Jodar R. (27)Carreno-Busta P.3 : 2
    8De Jong J.Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Berrettini M. (RET.)Arnaldi M.0 : 1
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Cobolli F. (10)1 : 3
    3Mensik J. (26)Fonseca J. (28)3 : 0
    4Jodar R. (27)Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Arnaldi M.Cobolli F. (WO.) (10)
    2Mensik J. (26)Zverev A. (2)1 : 3

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (10)Zverev A. (2)