Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherot – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Matteo Berrettini
56.1%
Valentin Vacherot
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentin Vacherot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Berrettini - Valentin Vacherot Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.76)

    2.17
    (1.98)
    4.4%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Berrettini - Valentin Vacherot?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Vacherot will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 1 - 50%). Vacherot (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Berrettini is ranked ATP: 68. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 25.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vacherot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Latest results of Valentin Vacherot
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Marozsan F.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    4ByeKorda S. (32)
    5Darderi L. (17)Bye
    6Giron M.Landaluce M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    8ByeKhachanov K. (14)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Quinn E.Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    11Kouame M. (WC)Svajda Z. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeLehecka J. (21)
    13Draper J. (25)Bye
    14Opelka R.Borges N.2 : 1
    15Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    16ByeFritz T. (6)
    17Vukic A. (LL)Bye
    18Jodar R. (Q)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 1
    19Bergs Z.Brooksby J.2 : 0
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (29)
    21Paul T. (22)Bye
    22Zhang Z. (PR)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    23Collignon R.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    24ByeCobolli F. (13)
    25Bublik A. (10)Bye
    26Muller A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    27Basilashvili N. (Q)Navone M.0 : 2
    28ByeVacherot V. (24)
    29Fils A. (28)Bye
    30Blanch Dar. (WC)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    31Tsitsipas S.Fery A. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    33Shelton B. (8)Bye
    34Arnaldi M.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    35Diallo G.Wu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    36ByeHumbert U. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (18)Bye
    38Royer V.Tirante T. A. (LL)1 : 2
    39Kovacevic A.Sakamoto R. (WC)1 : 2
    40ByeMedvedev D. (9)
    41Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    43Majchrzak K.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    44ByeTien L. (20)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Cilic M.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    47Damm M. (WC)Fearnley J. (RET.)1 : 0
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Bye
    50O'Connell C. (Q)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    51Atmane T.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    52ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    53Tiafoe F. (19)Bye
    54Cazaux A.Barrios Vera T. (Q)2 : 0
    55Walton A. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Rublev A. (15)Bye
    58Tabilo A.Comesana F.2 : 0
    59Michelsen A.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeNorrie C. (23)
    61Moutet C. (30)Bye
    62Nava E.Machac T.1 : 2
    63Buse I. (Q)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Korda S. (32)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (17)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    4Bautista-Agut R.Khachanov K. (14)0 : 2
    5Ruud C. (11)Quinn E.0 : 2
    6Kouame M.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    7Draper J. (25)Opelka R.0 : 2
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Fritz T. (6)1 : 2
    9Vukic A.Jodar R.0 : 2
    10Bergs Z.Etcheverry T. M. (29)0 : 2
    11Paul T. (22)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    12Collignon R.Cobolli F. (13)2 : 0
    13Bublik A. (10)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    14Navone M.Vacherot V. (24)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (28)Blanch Dar.2 : 0
    16Tsitsipas S.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    17Shelton B. (8)Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    18Diallo G.Humbert U. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (18)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    20Sakamoto R.Medvedev D. (9)1 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Halys Q.0 : 2
    22Majchrzak K.Tien L. (20)2 : 1
    23Nakashima B. (27)Cilic M.1 : 2
    24Damm M.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    26Atmane T.Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 0
    27Tiafoe F. (19)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    28Walton A.Mensik J. (12)1 : 2
    29Rublev A. (15)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    30Michelsen A.Norrie C. (23)2 : 1
    31Moutet C. (30)Machac T.2 : 1
    32Dzumhur D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Korda S. (32)
    2Landaluce M.Khachanov K. (14)
    3Quinn E.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    4Opelka R.Fritz T. (6)0 : 2
    5Jodar R.Etcheverry T. M. (29)0 : 2
    6Paul T. (22)Collignon R.
    7Berrettini M.Vacherot V. (24)
    8Fils A. (28)Tsitsipas S.
    9Shevchenko A.Humbert U. (31)
    10Cerundolo F. (18)Medvedev D. (9)
    11Halys Q.Majchrzak K.
    12Cilic M.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Atmane T.
    14Tiafoe F. (19)Mensik J. (12)
    15Tabilo A.Michelsen A.
    16Moutet C. (30)Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Lehecka J. (21)Fritz T. (6)
    3Etcheverry T. M. (29)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2