Matteo Covato vs Bruno Fernandez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Santiago 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
22

Chances of winning


Matteo Covato
33.3%
Bruno Fernandez
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.
  • Bruno Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bruno Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Covato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bruno Fernandez than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bruno Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matteo Covato - Bruno Fernandez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.22)

    1.41
    (1.56)
    6.6%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Covato is ranked ATP: 927. Fernandez is ranked ATP: 1134.
    • Covato has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fernandez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fernandez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Matteo Covato
    Latest results of Bruno Fernandez
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Casanova H. (1)Lilov V.2 : 0
    2Monferrer E.Cavallo F.0 : 2
    3Covato M.Fernandez B.2 : 0
    4Spiering M.Aguilar Cardozo J. (6)0 : 2
    5De La Fuente S. (3)Remondy Pagotto V. H.2 : 1
    6Salazar A.Leston T. J.2 : 1
    7Zeitune M.Ortiz Gamonal D.2 : 0
    8Dickerson R.Vilicich B. (5)2 : 0
    9Nunez D. A. (8)Cundom J.2 : 1
    10Gonzalez-Galino V.Aguilar Cardozo F.0 : 2
    11Torrealba B.Perez B.2 : 1
    12Pagani D.Monzon I. (4)1 : 2
    13Zarate C. M. (7)Ratti L.2 : 1
    14Bruna N.Villalon N.2 : 0
    15Menzel Piccioli T. E.Cigarran T.1 : 2
    16Tenti F.La Serna J. M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Casanova H. (1)Cavallo F.2 : 0
    2Covato M.Aguilar Cardozo J. (6)0 : 2
    3De La Fuente S. (3)Salazar A.2 : 0
    4Zeitune M.Dickerson R.2 : 0
    5Nunez D. A. (8)Aguilar Cardozo F.0 : 2
    6Torrealba B.Monzon I. (4)0 : 2
    7Zarate C. M. (7)Bruna N.2 : 1
    8Cigarran T.La Serna J. M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Casanova H. (1)Aguilar Cardozo J. (6)1 : 2
    2De La Fuente S. (3)Zeitune M.2 : 1
    3Aguilar Cardozo F.Monzon I. (4)1 : 2
    4Zarate C. M. (7)La Serna J. M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Aguilar Cardozo J. (6)De La Fuente S. (3)2 : 0
    2Monzon I. (4)La Serna J. M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Aguilar Cardozo J. (6)La Serna J. M. (2)2 : 0