Matteo Covato vs Christopher Li – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bucaramanga 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats


Aces
7	1
Double Faults
1	7
1st serve percentage
74%	74%
1st serve points won
63% (40/64)	63% (41/65)
2nd serve points won
48% (11/23)	48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
7/11	3/8
1st return points won
38% (25/65)	41% (26/64)
2nd return points won
52% (12/23)	52% (12/23)
Break Points Converted
5/8	4/11
Winners
35	17
Unforced errors
55	22
Net points won
53% (10/19)	40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
56% (49/87)	59% (52/88)
Return Points Won
41% (36/88)	44% (38/87)
Total Points Won
49% (85/175)	51% (90/175)
Last 10 balls
3	7
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
69% (9/13)	62% (8/13)
Return games won
38% (5/13)	31% (4/13)
Total games won
54% (14/26)	46% (12/26)

Chances of winning

Matteo Covato
30%

Christopher Li
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.

Christopher Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christopher Li's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Covato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher Li than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christopher Li, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Covato - Christopher Li Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.18)		1.33 ↓ (1.59)	7.1% (8.8%)

Preview Facts

Covato is ranked ATP: 724. Li is ranked ATP: 1017.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Li may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Li is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the players.

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Covato won against Christopher Li?

Matteo Covato has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Christopher Li won against Matteo Covato?

Christopher Li has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Covato - Christopher Li were as follows:

Latest results of Matteo Covato

22.03.2026 Matteo Covato - Camilo Gonzalez 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Jesse Flores - Matteo Covato 2:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Eero Vasa - Matteo Covato 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Claude Ishimwe - Matteo Covato 0:2 ✺

01.03.2026 Ryan Nijboer - Matteo Covato 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Christopher Li

22.03.2026 Gray Voelzke - Christopher Li 1:2 ✺

04.03.2026 Christopher Li - Daniel Antonio Nunez 0:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Christopher Li - Ignacio Monzon 0:2 ✺

05.02.2026 Andrew Fenty - Christopher Li 2:0 ✺

04.02.2026 Davide Tortora - Christopher Li 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/16-finals

1	Justo G. I. (1)	Fernandez B.	2 : 0
2	George B. T. (Q)	Marrero Curbelo I.	1 : 2
3	Nikles J.	Torrealba B. (Q)	2 : 1
4	Kingsley C.	Soriano Barrera A. (6)	2 : 1
5	Roncadelli F. (3)	Heredia S.	2 : 1
6	Linde Palacios S. A.	Li C. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Rodriguez L. J.	Gomez J. S.	2 : 0
8	Aboian V.	Johns G. (5)	1 : 2
9	Estevez J. (8)	Janvier M.	0 : 2
10	Orlov V.	Villalon N. (Q)	0 : 2
11	Rengifo F. (WC)	Zarate C. M.	0 : 2
12	Corwin F.	La Serna J. M. (4)	0 : 2
13	Ambrogi L. E. (7)	Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.	2 : 0
14	Osorio J. S. (WC)	Salazar D. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Bertran P.	Hernandez R. S. L. (WC)	2 : 1
16	Nunez D. A. (Q)	Soto M. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Justo G. I. (1)	Marrero Curbelo I.	2 : 0
2	Nikles J.	Kingsley C.	2 : 0
3	Roncadelli F. (3)	Li C.	2 : 1
4	Rodriguez L. J.	Johns G. (5)	2 : 0
5	Janvier M.	Villalon N.	0 : 2
6	Zarate C. M.	La Serna J. M. (4)	1 : 2
7	Ambrogi L. E. (7)	Salazar D.	0 : 2
8	Bertran P.	Soto M. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Justo G. I. (1)	Nikles J.	2 : 0
2	Roncadelli F. (3)	Rodriguez L. J.	2 : 1
3	Villalon N.	La Serna J. M. (4)	2 : 1
4	Salazar D.	Soto M. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Justo G. I. (1)	Roncadelli F. (RET.) (3)	1 : 0
2	Villalon N.	Soto M. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Justo G. I. (1)

Soto M. (2)

0 : 2