Result
2:0
23/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cochabamba, clay - Final
Chances of winning
Matteo Covato
33.8% | Samuel Heredia
66.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.Samuel Heredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samuel Heredia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Covato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuel Heredia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matteo Covato - Samuel Heredia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.09) |
|
1.39 ↓
(1.63) |
8.8%
(9.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- Covato is ranked ATP: 996. Heredia is ranked ATP: 892.
- Covato is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Heredia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Covato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Heredia will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Covato won against Samuel Heredia?
Matteo Covato has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samuel Heredia won against Matteo Covato?
Samuel Heredia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Covato - Samuel Heredia were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Covato
Latest results of Samuel Heredia
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Soto M. (1) | Salazar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pernas T. A. | Suarez L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Hoyos C. T. | Lucarelli A. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bini V. | Bruna N. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Linde Palacios S. A. (3) | Nunez Vera A. S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Rico Arias N. E. | Braga B. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Voelzke G. | Almeida Junior E. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Covato M. | Rodriguez R. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Farjat T. (6) | Brom A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Lora S. | Castaneda M. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Mendoza I. | Urquiola Montellano A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Scramin do Lago J. V. | Schachter N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Heredia S. (5) | Cuellar Lorberg A. E. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | De A. I. | Hollender N. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Berger A. | Meneo T. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Pinto L. | Aboian V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Salazar D. | Pernas T. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Lucarelli A. M. | Bruna N. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Linde Palacios S. A. (3) | Rico Arias N. E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Voelzke G. | Covato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Farjat T. (6) | Lora S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Urquiola Montellano A. | Scramin do Lago J. V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Heredia S. (5) | De A. I. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Meneo T. | Aboian V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Salazar D. | Bruna N. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Linde Palacios S. A. (3) | Covato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Farjat T. (6) | Scramin do Lago J. V. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Heredia S. (5) | Aboian V. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Salazar D. | Covato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Farjat T. (6) | Heredia S. (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Covato M. | Heredia S. (5) | 2 : 0 |
