Matteo Covato vs Valentin Basel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki Men Matteo Covato - Valentin Basel
Result
0:2
24/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
37

Chances of winning


Matteo Covato
42.4%
Valentin Basel
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.
  • Valentin Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Basel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Covato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Basel than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matteo Covato - Valentin Basel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.73)

    1.64
    (2)
    5.7%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Covato is ranked ATP: 927. Basel is ranked ATP: 1050.
    • Recent performances by Covato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Basel is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matteo Covato
    Latest results of Valentin Basel
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Edengren K. (Q)2 : 0
    2Novansky M. (Q)Kosinski F.2 : 0
    3Munkhammar P. (Q)Michalik R. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kielan S.Ribero F. (5)2 : 1
    5Pieczonka F. (RET.) (3)Malaszszak M. (Q)0 : 1
    6Efstathiou M.Grzegorzewski O.2 : 0
    7Klimas J.Majchrzak A. (Q)0 : 2
    8Bojarski A.Berkieta T. (6)1 : 2
    9Covato M. (8)Basel V.0 : 2
    10Parizzia N.Jedrzejczak J.2 : 0
    11Krawczyk J.Hrazdil J.0 : 2
    12Gschwendtner J.Filip J. (4)0 : 2
    13Szajrych J. (7)Wisniewski D. (Q)0 : 2
    14Cerny M.Szymkowiak K.2 : 0
    15Von der Schulenburg J.Kokot B. (Q)2 : 0
    16Ramskogler G.Juszczak P. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Novansky M.2 : 0
    2Munkhammar P.Kielan S.0 : 2
    3Malaszszak M.Efstathiou M.0 : 2
    4Majchrzak A.Berkieta T. (6)0 : 2
    5Basel V.Parizzia N.1 : 2
    6Hrazdil J. (RET.)Filip J. (4)0 : 1
    7Wisniewski D.Cerny M.0 : 2
    8Von der Schulenburg J.Juszczak P. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Kielan S.2 : 1
    2Efstathiou M.Berkieta T. (6)0 : 2
    3Parizzia N.Filip J. (4)1 : 2
    4Cerny M.Von der Schulenburg J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Berkieta T. (6)2 : 0
    2Filip J. (4)Cerny M. (RET.)1 : 0

    Final
    1Kolar Z. (1)Filip J. (4)2 : 0